Footy SGM’s AFL Rd 8 & NRL Rd 9
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice. Anyone who only put the same amount on every bet would have made less than 50% of the profit made by following our Staking Advice and Volume of Bets.
Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo. See the example below.
Check the Best Bookie.
AFL
Sunday 9th May
Hawthorn SGM - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.2, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Eagles SGM - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Bulldogs SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Carlton SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.2, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Lions SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 4.4, Best Book Lads/Neds
Fremantle SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.3, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Lions/Fremantle Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 18, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Saturday 8th May
Saints SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 7.2, Lads/Neds.
Suns SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 4, Lads/Neds.
GWS SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 3.6, Lads/Neds.
Dons SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.75, Lads/Neds.
Kangas SGM - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.3, Lads/Neds.
Pies SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 4.75, Lads/Neds.
Kangas/Pies Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 18, Lads/Neds.
Dees SGM - Stake 2.5 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.3, Lads/Neds.
Swans SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 8.5, Lads/Neds.
Crows SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 3.2, Lads/Neds.
Port SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 9.5, Lads/Neds.
Showdown SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 35, Lads/Neds.
Friday 7th May
Cats SGM - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds (Bonus bet back if 1 leg misses)
Tigers SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 7.5, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 30, Best odds Lads/Neds
NRL
Sunday 9th May
Manly SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 4.3, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Manly Value SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 7.0, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Dragons SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.8, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Saturday 8th May
Raiders/Knights SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.5, Best Odds - Lads/Neds
Tigers VS Titans SGM - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.5, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Broncos VS Cowboys SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 4.8, Best Book - Topsport
Friday 7th May
Panthers SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 3.7, Best Book - Topsport
The Panthers are on fire this season and should have no problem dismantling a flailing Sharks team. The Sharks have shown us nothing since sacking John Morris and things will not get better against the Penrith heavyweights. Charlie Staines has been slightly disappointing to start the season and is one of the unluckiest players in the game right now. The Panthers will look to rectify this situation with Staines getting a brilliant matchup this week against the team he scored 4 tries against on debut. Dylan Edwards is showing off his immense talent right now and is going to be unlucky to not make the Blues squad due to their considerable depth at the back right now. Edwards gets an excellent matchup against the Sharks who have struggled to contain fullbacks. Edwards also loves going toe to toe with the Sharks, having 4 tries in 4 career matches against them.
Roosters SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 8.2, Best Book - Topsport
James Tedesco will be coming back refreshed after sitting out last week. Tedesco started the season in terrific form and will be looking to get back to this form as experienced players fall at the Roosters. Joseph Manu is playing his 100th game in the NRL tonight and they will do everything they can to make it a great day for him. Manu hasn’t been on the score sheet too many times this season but he does have an excellent pedigree.
Roosters Value SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 42.0, Best Book - Sportsbet
James Tedesco has scored the first Roosters try in each match he has scored in this season. This line should be closer to a pick-em so taking the Roosters by a converted try offers terrific value to our SGM.
Thursday 6th May
Rabbitohs VS Storm SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 7.0, Best Book - Topsport
The Rabbitohs are going into this game with a huge injury list and will be missing players at every level of their team. The Storm has a very impressive record over South Sydney all time including winning 10 of the last 11. Alex Johnston is a try-scoring machine on the left-wing and gets an excellent matchup against a poor Storm right edge. Justin Olam has scored in every game he has played against the Rabbitohs going 4/4. Olam also gets a great matchup this week against a centre making his season debut. The best odds are at Pointsbet.
Footy SGM’s AFL Rd 7 & NRL Rd 8
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice. We take efforts to balance the probability and how strong we believe the bet is, to give you the best staking advice.
AFL
Sunday 2nd May
Petshaw SGM - Stake 0.5 units, Minimum odds 18, Lads/Neds
Norf SGM - Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds 3.5, Lads/Neds
Dees/Norf Combo SGM, Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds $60, Lads/Neds
Dons SGM, Stake 1.5 units, Minimum Odds 4, Lads/Neds
Blues SGM - Stake 1.5 units, Minimum Odds 3.6, Lads/Neds
Eagles SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.8, Lads/Neds
Freo SGM - Stake 1 unit, Minimum Odds 5, Lads/Neds
Eagles/Freo SGM, Stake 0.5 units, Minimum odds 20, Lads/Neds
Saturday 1st May
Pendlebum SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 3.6, Lads/Neds, Similar odds Bet 365.
Suns SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.6, Lads/Neds
GWS SGM - Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds 3.5, Lads/Neds
Crows SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 4.5, Lads/Neds
Saints SGM- Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.5, Lads/Neds
Hawks SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.9, Lads/Neds
Lions SGM - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 2.8, Lads/Neds
Port SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.8, Lads/Neds
Lions/Port Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 20, Lads/Neds
Cats SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.4, Lads/Neds
Swans SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4, Lads/Neds
Friday 30th April
The cooking Midfield Dogs SGM - Stake 3 units, Minimum Odds 2.95 Lads/Neds
Tigers SGM - Stake 1 unit, Minimum Odds 5.50, Lads/Neds
Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 units, Minimum Odds 15, Lads/Neds
NRL
Sunday 2nd May
Cowboys/Warriors SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds, 3.1 Best Book Lads/Neds
Cowboys/Warriors Value SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 16, Best Book Lads/Neds
Dragons/Tigers SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book Lads/Neds
Saturday 1st May
Panthers SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.70, Best Book Topsport
Eels SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 3.00, Best Book Lads/Neds
Roosters SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book Topsport
Friday 30th April
Storm SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 4.10, Best Book - Topsport
Broncos SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.05, Best Book - Sportsbet
Broncos VS Titans SGM - Stake 0.25 Units, Minimum Odds 80.00, Best Book Lads/Neds
Thursday 29th April
Rabbitohs VS Raiders SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds $3.15
Cody Walker has been in sensational form to begin the season. Walker has scored in 4 of 6 matches this season and has scored in 6 of his last 9 matches against top 8 opposition. A move to fullback this week will only strengthen his try-scoring claims as he will still hover towards the dominant Rabbitohs left edge. This game predicts to be a very close one with the last 4 matches between these 2 teams all separated by 6 points or less. The Raiders will be hungry to get the job done this week in their return to GIO Stadium. The last 4 matches between these 2 teams at GIO stadium have all gone well under 40 points, so we have a nice buffer on this as well. The best odds are at Sportsbet.
Footy SGM’s AFL RD 6 & NRL RD 7
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice. We take efforts to balance the probability and how strong we believe the bet is, to give you the best staking advice.
AFL
Sunday 25th April
Crows SGM, Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds $3 Lads/Neds.
Hawks SGM, Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 8, Lads/Neds.
Dons SGM, Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds $4.20, Bet 365
Pies SGM, Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds $3.60, Bet 365.
Pies/Dons combo SGM, Stake 0.5 units, take down to 15, Bet 365.
Saints SGM, Stake 1.5 units, Minimum Odds $4.50, Bet 365.
Port SGM, Stake 1 unit, Minimum Odds $6 Lads/Neds.
Saturday 24th April
Norf SGM, Stake 0.5 units, Minimum Odds $8 Lads/Neds.
Freo SGM, Stake 0.5 units, Minimum Odds $11, Lads/Neds.
Dees SGM, Stake 1 unit, Minimum Odds $5.5 Lads/Neds.
Tigers SGM, Stake 1.5 units, Minimum Odds $4.10 Lads/Neds.
Swans SGM - Stake 1.5 units, Minimum Odds 4.20. Lads/Neds
Suns SGM - Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds 3.5. Lads/Neds
Cats SGM - Stake 1 unit, Minimum Odds 5. Lads/Neds
Eagles SGM - Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds 3.75
Lions SGM - Stake 1 units, Minimum Odds 5. Lads/Neds
Blues SGM - Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds 3.4. Lads/Neds
Friday 23rd April
Bulldogs SGM - Stake 2 units, Minimum Odds 3.90
Giants SGM - Stake 1.5 units, Minimum odds 4.
NRL
Sunday 25th April
Tigers SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds $2.60, Best Odds Lads/Neds
Roosters SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds $4.20, Best Odds Lads/Neds
Roosters Bonus SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds $28.50, Best Odds Sportsbet
Storm SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds $3.25 Best Odds Sportsbet
Saturday 24th April
Bulldogs SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum odds $4.40, Best Odds Sportsbet
Raiders SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum odds $4.20, Best Odds Topsport
Friday 23rd April
1.5 Units, Minimum odds $3.00
1.5 Units, Minimum odds $3.40
Thursday 22nd April
Panthers SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds $4.20
The Panthers should be too strong for the Knights here controlling mismatches all over the park. Charlie Staines has been harshly ridiculed this season for a number of reasons. Staines has been the recipient of some very unlucky plays, where he has been very close to scoring but ultimately come up just short. Staines will benefit this week from the suspension to Paul Momirovski. Momirovski is not a fan of passing the ball and has cost Staines several tries this season where he was wide open. The Knights have also struggled against right wings this season, as their outside defence has been one of the worst in the competition.
Footy SGM’s AFL RD 5 & NRL RD 6
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice. We take efforts to balance the probability and how strong we believe the bet is, to give you the best staking advice.
AFL
Sunday 18th April
Freo SGM - Stake 2 Units, Accept Odds $3.25+
Best Odds Ladbrokes
Adelaide SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Accept Odds $4.10+
Best Odds Bet365
Melbourne SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Accept Odds $5.95+
Best Odds Ladbrokes
Hawthorn SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Accept Odds $4.60+
Best Odds Bet365
North Melbourne SGM - Stake 2 Units, Accept Odds $3.05+
Best Odds Bet365
Geelong SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Accept Odds $9.00+
Best Odds Ladbrokes
Saturday 17th April
0.75 Unit. Take down to 5. Best odds Bet 365
1.5 Unit. Take down to 4.2. Best odds Bet 365. Late change to Treloar anytime goal due to Vandeermeer late out at 5
2 Unit. Take down to 3.65. Best odds Lads/Neds.
2 Unit. Take down to 3.85. Best odds Lads/Neds
1 Unit. Take down to 6.5. Best odds Lads/Neds
0.5 unit. Take down to 9. Best odds Lads/Neds
1 Unit. Take down to 4.6. Best odds Lads/Neds
1.5 Unit. take down to 4.5. Best odds Lads/Neds.
Friday 16th April
0.5 Unit. Take down to 8. Best odds Neds/Lads
1.5 Unit. Take down to 3.50. Best odds Bet 365.
Thursday 15th April
2 Unit. Take down to 3.45. Best odds Bet 365. Promo bonus back for Lads/Neds.
1 Unit take down to 5.60. Best odds Lads/Neds.
NRL
Sunday 18th April
1 Unit - Minimum odds $3.60 Best Odds Lads/Neds
1.5 Units - Minimum Odds $3.50
Holmes has scored 4 tries in 6 matches against the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs have also been poor against the fullback position. Kyle Feldt gets a great match-up against the Bulldogs who have conceded 5 tries to the position this season. The best odds are at Lads/Neds.
Saturday 17th April
Manly, Gold Coast SGM, 2 Units. Minimum odds $3.80
AJ Brimson loves scoring against the Sea Eagles with 5 tries in 4 games. He gets a great matchup against a team that has been leaking tries to fullbacks. Corey Thompson has been in terrific form this season with 5 tries already. The Sea Eagles have also conceded 5 tries to Corey Thompson’s position so far this campaign. In the last 3 matches between these 2 teams, Manly has conceded 6 tries to the left-wing position. Topsport has the best odds for this one.
Rabbitohs Tigers SGM - 1.5 Units. Minimum odds $3.50
Both Johnston and Mitchell have terrific try-scoring records against the Tigers. The Tigers defence has been very questionable to begin the season, but the Rabbitohs are unlikely to blow them out completely today. The best odds are at Lads/Neds.
Raiders, Eels SGM - 0.5 Units, minimum odds $7.00.
Isaiah Papali’i has been in brilliant form since taking over the starting job at the Eels. He has scored in his last 2 games and has scored against Canberra in the past. We are predicting a low scoring match in this one, where the forwards should get a lot of goal-line work. The Eels have struggled to finish the games off in Canberra, so the alternate line here gives us a nice boost to the stakes. The best odds are at Sportsbet.
Friday 16th April
Kalyn Ponga started his season with a terrific try last week and is a guy who doesn’t mind a try against the Sharks. Ponga scored 3 tries against the Sharks last time they played and will be looking to build on that form. William Kennedy has been in terrific try-scoring form this season, scoring in 4 of the 5 games he has played in. Kennedy has taken a huge step up this season and will hopefully be a player that is in Fitzgibbons future plans. With all the media coverage in the Sharks coaching saga, the public has moved the Sharks line in a disproportionate way. We’re getting a nice boost to our SGM by adding this alternate line in. I found this multi at Lads/Neds Take down to $5.65 if betting elsewhere. 1.5 Units.
Jarome Hughes is paying well over the odds to score a try against the Roosters this week. Hughes scored 3 tries in 2 games against them last season and has 4 tries in 5 games against them when playing in the halves. Hughes has got on the scoreboard already this season and if his career stats are to go by, he is due for a second. The Roosters have conceded 2 tries to halves already this season, and are starting to look weaker through the middle. This game is traditionally a close-fought affair, and the only time a team has been blown out in the last 10 years was in 2016 when the Roosters only won 6 games. I found this bet at Lads/Neds, take $5.20 or better anywhere else. 1 Unit.
Thursday 15th April
Brian To’o is an absolute workhorse with a terrific try-scoring rate over his short career. To’o gets a very generous matchup and is on the end of the most dangerous wing in the NRL. Viliame Kikau has been in terrific try-scoring form so far this season with 4 tries already. The Broncos have struggled to stop left second rowers this season and it will be a stretch to stop anyone who plays between Luai and Burton. As good as the Panthers are I can’t see them beating the Broncos by 46 points or more. The Broncos always play slightly better at Suncorp and were getting a big boost by having the alternate handicap included in our SGM. I found this at Lads/Neds, but take $3.60 or better elsewhere. 2 Units.
Footy SGM’s AFL R4 & NRL R5
AFL
Thursday 08/04/2020
2 Unit. Take down to 4.33. Note: You can also take this at Lads/Neds and if you have a boost available use it to get 4.87.
Friday 09/04/2021
2 Unit take down to 4.8. Best odds at time of posting @ Bet 365
2 unit take down to 3.1. Best odds at time of posting @ Bet 365
Saturday 10/04/2021
1 Unit. Take down to 5.50, Best odds Bet 365 but solid at all bookmakers.
2 Unit take down to 3.75. Best odds Lads/Neds
2 Unit take down to 3.25. Best odds Lads/Neds
1 unit take down to 6.50. Best odds at time of posting Lads/Neds
2 unit take down to 4. Best odds at time of posting Bet365.
1.5 unit take down to 4.6 Best odds at time of posting Bet 365.
Sunday 11/04/2021
1 unit take down to 12. Best odds at time of posting Lads/Neds
2 unit take down to 4.30. Best odds at time of posting bet 365.
2 unit take down to 3.75. Best odds at time of posting Bet 365.
1.5 Unit take down to 5.15. Best odds at time of posting Lads/Neds
NRL
Thursday 08/04/2021
Topsport has great odds here, a lot higher than other books. Keep within the “Price to Take” if the odds change.
Friday 08/04/2021
2 unit, take down to 5.75. Best odds Sportsbet.
0.25 Units. Take down to 60, best odds Neds/Lads. Note: Garrick is first try scorer for Manly, not for the whole game.
1.5 unit. Take down to 5.85. Best odds Neds/Lads
Saturday 10/04/2021
Kalyn Ponga doesn’t mind a try against the Titans. Ponga has scored in three out of five career games and has scored in two out of three of his first matches of the season for the Knights. Phillip Sami loves scoring against the Knights with four tries in four career games. All of Sami’s tries have come on the wing where he will be moving to this week. Take odds over $4.65 if not betting at Topsport. 1.5 Units.
Were looking at a longer odds bet in this game, but still have a great edge on it. Ryan Papenhuyzen is in terrific form, scoring in two of his three games this season for six tries. Josh Addo-Carr has a terrific record against the Bulldogs with three doubles in his last three matches against them. Nick Cotric gets the better side matchup for the Bulldogs up against the Storm right edge. Although it was for the Raiders, Cotric scored four tries in three games against the Storm last season. The best odds are at Sportsbet. Take odds of $20 or better. 0.5 Units
James Tedesco has been in great form all season, and should have his way again this week. Tedesco has scored in every game so far this season. The Roosters are still a class above the Sharks who look like they will struggle against top 8 teams this season. Best odds are at Topsport, but you can take $2.2 or better elsewhere. 3 Units.
The Roosters have covered this line in every win this season, and have also covered it in the last four matches against the Sharks. Joseph Manu is looking more involved each week and has scored three tries in his last four matches against the Sharks. Traditionally the Sharks struggle against Roosters centres. The best odds are at Topsport, but you can take $6.80 or better elsewhere. 1 Unit.
Sunday 11/04/2021
Kyle Feldt and Valentine Holmes both have terrific try-scoring records against the West Tigers. Feldt has 7 tries in 6 games and Holmes has 6 tries in 5 games against the Tigers. Holmes has started to take on a lot more of the playmaking role since his switch to fullback, and always backs himself to get over the line. Feldt is returning from suspension, not injury, which doesn’t affect his try-scoring appeal. The Tigers have conceded 5 tries apiece to both the Fullback and Right-Wing positions this season. The best odds are at Topsport but you can take down to $5.70 at other books. 1.5 Units.
We have a great SGM here with 2 players that should be heavily involved in the red zone. Maika Sivo has 3 tries already this season and has already scored 3 tries in his 3 matches against the Dragons. The Dragons have also been much weaker with their right edge defence, leaking 3 tries to the left-wing position already this season.
Mikaele Ravalawa has a terrific record scoring against the Eels, grabbing 4 tries in his 3 matches against the club. Ravalawa on the left-wing also gets the terrific matchup against the Eels defensively weaker right edge. The Eels have conceded 3 tries to the left-wing position already this season. Ravalawa has also been in good form himself this season with 2 tries and another couple brought back.
The Eels should be too strong for the Dragons, with their defence leading from the front. The Eels have won 8 of the last 10 matches vs the Dragons and are a tier above them this season. Take odds down to $4.90. 2 Units.