Members tips for Thursday 25 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 4
The Fundamentals
CJ McCollum v SAC
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
CJ is averaging 21ppg 4.2rpg 4.3apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this year including 2 of his last 5. Over the past 2 seasons he's hitting this line in about 31% of games. The reason I really like this bet is the macthup the Kings are ranked 25th in Drtg and are giving up plenty of points to Shootinf Guards. CJ has enjoyed the matchup scoring 37,34,28 points in his last 3 games vs the Trailblazers. Go CJ 🔥🔥🔥
Steph Curry v PHI
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Steph has hit this line 8 times already this season, now, when this bet loses, it may lose by 20 points, but he hits it more than enough times to bet on it. I think this has about a 1 in 3 chance of hitting, and at $4.24 odds that is a great value bet.
Optional Super Action
All results count towards performance statisitics.
Steph Curry v PHI #2
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
He's hit the line in 2 of his past 5 games and gone close on 1 other. Averaging 13.2 3PA over the last 5 games. If he gets hot anything can happen for Steph either way I think he's going to have a big impact on the game. Go Steph 🔥🔥🔥
Steph Curry
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $13.00
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
He's hit this line in 3 games this season and 9 games over the past 2 seasons. Note good to take on SB with 5 3pm for $13 tipping both @ 0.5 units.
Today’s Bets: Part 3
The Fundamentals
Dejounte Murray v ATL
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 18.1ppg 8.3rpg 8apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 2 of his last 5. Today up against a Hawks lineup that hasn't been good defensively against Point Guards giving up plenty of points and assists. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All results count towards performance statisitics.
Dejounte Murray v ATL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit 3 triple-doubles this season and has been very close on 4 other occasions this season. He's doing plenty for the Spurs this year and I think he has a great opportunity against the Hawks go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Pascal Siakam v MEM
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
The Grizzlies are the worst defensive team in the league by Drtg and PPG giving up 114.9ppg. They are giving up plenty of Points and Rebounds to the PF and Center position. I like Spicy P here to do a little bit of everything. He's hit this line in 2 games this season including 2 of his last 5 and about 27% of his games since last season. Go Spicy 🌶🌶🌶
Donovan Mitchell v OKC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 1 in his last 5. He's hit this line in about 30% of games since last year. We're getting good value for Spida Mitchell here against an average defensive team in the Thunder. A key danger could be a blowout. Go Spida 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine v HOU
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Zach has hit this line in 4 games this season including 2 of his last 5. He's hit it in about 25% of games since last season. The Rockets are poor defensively and play at a high pace it's a nice mix that gives Zach an opportunity at a big game. Go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
Anthony Edwards v MIA
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 1 in his last 5. He's hit this line in about 26% of his games since the All Star Game last season. Pretty good numbers. Now the Heat are very good defensively. However they are giving up Points to Small Forwards and Shooting Guards Anthony's primary position is as a wing. Looking got him to get it going against the Heat, his team will likely need production from him. Go Anthony 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v WAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
The Wizards are ranked 5th in Drtg a surprise very strong on that end. Their weakness is against opposition Centers giving up plenty of Points and Rebounds. Enter Jonas Valanciunas. JV is averaging 19.1ppg and 12.5rpg. He's hit this line in 9 games this season including 2 in his last 5. I like his chances here at these odds. Go JV 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Domantas Sabonis v LAL
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Domantas is averaging 17.9ppg and 11.1rpg. He's hit this line in 9 games this season including 2 in the last 5. He's hit this line in about 52% of games over the past 2 seasons. We return to the Sabonis well here up against the Lakers today who are ranked 20th in Drtg and 2nd in Pace. The Lakers are also coming in on the second half of a back to back. I like Domantas chances here at these odds. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Malcolm Brodgon
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Malcolm Brogdon is averaging 20.9ppg 6.1rpg 6.1apg with 1.9 3PM. He's hit this line in 4 games this season. Today I like his matchup against the up tempo Lakers who are giving up plenty of points and assists. Malcolm has hit this line in about 24% of games over the past 2 seasons and I think he's somewhere around that probability to hit today. Go Malcolm 🔥🔥🔥
Sabonis and Brogdon Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $12.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
The 2 most consistent performers on the Pacers. They've combined to hit this line in 2 games already this season. Over the past 2 seasons in games they've both played they've combined to hit this line in about 16% of games. I think it's somewhere in that vicinity that they both hit today vs the Lakers. Go Pacers 🔥🔥🔥
Chris Paul v CLE
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Possible to take Regular Under Points, Over Rebounds and Over assists on most books, but, official tip above.
My Thoughts:
The Point God, seems to have shaved a couple points off his output this year and replaced that with an extra assist or two. It is possible we are seeing him adapt as he slows down more and more, still finding ways to be productive and is a huge part of the Suns play this year. This is becoming a bread and butter line for him, it isn’t a lock, but we are seeing him hit it more and more often.
Miles Bridges v ORL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Miles is averaging 20.8ppg 7.4rpg 3.3apg this season. He's hit this line in 8 games including once vs the Magic. He's hit this line in 2 of his past 5 games. The Magic are ranked 28th in Drtg and are giving up plenty of Points and Rebounds to opposing Power Forwards. Miles had 31points and 6 rebounds in their first matchup and I think he has a great opportunity here to have a big game. Go Miles 🔥🔥🔥
Jayson Tatum v BKN
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jayson is averaging 31.4ppg 8.4rpg 4apg over his last 5 games. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 3 of his last 5 He's been very hot. Up against a Nets team who are good defensively he enjoyed the matchup last season scoring 30+ twice. Let's see if he can repeat those efforts today. Go Jayson 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v MIL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jerami is averaging 19.4ppg 4.4rpg. He's hit this line in 5 contests this season and about 44% of games since last season. He's also really enjoyed his last 4 matchups with the Bucks hitting this line 3 times and recording 4 20 point games. The Pistons are outmatched today (15.5 point underdog), hoping Jerami can have a good game to keep them in it and hit this line. Go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All results count towards performance statisitics.
Miles Bridges v ORL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
He's hit this line 6 games this season including 1 in the last 5 and 1 vs the Magic already. I think it is well over the odds and worth a play here. Go Miles 🔥🔥🔥
