Members tips for Wednesday 24 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
CJ McCollum v DEN
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
CJ has hit this line in 3 games this season. He's been very close on a couple of others. Over the last 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 33% of games including one contest vs the Nuggets. Denver have pretty good defensively but are giving up points and 3s to Shooting Guards and CJ has a 20 point game against them already this season. Go CJ 🔥🔥🔥
Paul George v DAL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 4 games this season including 1 in his last 5. I like his ability to score and rebound the Mavericks especially if he's putting up 25 shots per game. The assists could be dicey but we're playing on the side of value. He's 9 and 8 to the over 5.5 assist mark but in the games where he's hit big scoring totals he's assisted less so that's how we're betting it here. For their part the Mavericks are 19th in Drtg and PG scored well against them in their last contest. Go PG13 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Bam Adebayo v DET
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Bam's averaging 19.4ppg 10.6rpg 2.6aog this season. He's hit this line in 5 games this season. And mostly taken on the role of scoring and rebounding with less passing leaving the playmaking to the guards this season. The reason I really like Bam in this spot is the Pistons are giving up plenty of rebounds to opposing Centers. The Pistons shoot 41% from the field, second worst % in the NBA and their starting Center is suspended for 2 games. I think we're getting great value here for Bam to hit a line he's already hit 5 times this year. Go Bam 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v MIA
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jerami is coming off a good game and collect for us. We're riding the hot hand here so to speak. The Heat are very good defensively and good defensively vs Power Forward, so, we'll take a smaller bet on Jerami here. Go Jerami!
RJ Barrett v LAL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
RJ Barrett 1.5 units. Take odds over $5. RJ is averaging 14.9ppg 6.1rpg 2.4apg this season. He's hit this line in 3 games this year and about 22% of games over the past 2 seasons. He's in somewhat of a slump at the moment. But he's still the starter and still averaging 14FGA per game so he's getting an opportunity. What we need here is a bounce back. Today's a nice chance up against the Lakers who are ranked 20th in the NBA in Drtg and 2nd in Pace. Go RJ 🔥🔥🔥
Julius Randle v LAL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.40
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
When he starts well, the Knicks keep feeding him the ball. Julius is averaging 20.4ppg 10rpg 5.1apg this season. He's hit this line in 4 games this season. And about 17% of games over the past 2 seasons. Julius has been hit and miss this season but is coming off a 34 point game vs the Bulls. He hit this line vs AD and the Lakers in a game last year and I think he has a good chance here today. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Included in Final Statistics.
Russell Westbrook v NYK
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $9.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Russ is averaging 20.8ppg 8.9rpg 9.3apg without LeBron in the lineup. LeBron is out suspended today and he's facing a Knicks team who are ranked 17th in Drtg. Point Guards are scoring a little but getting plenty of assists vs the Knicks. Go Russ 🔥🔥🔥
Randle and Barrett Combo SGM
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $40.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Over their last 88 games together they've combined to hit these lines in 8 games. Including 1 this season vs the Bucks. The Lakers play up tempo and their defense isn't great. It could be a nice recipe for points especially if Julius and RJ can get it going 🔥🔥🔥
