Members tips for Tuesday 23 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Performance Statistics
Dejounte Murray v PHO
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
He already has 2 triple doubles this season adding to the 4 he got last year. I think this is amazing value here @$34. This profiles as a very high tempo game both teams ranked in the top 5 in Pace so plenty of possessions and potentially plenty of stats for Dejounte. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
The Fundamentals
Dejounte Murray v PHO
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 18.1ppg 8.1rpg 7.8apg. He's hit this line in 8 games incl 3 in his last 5. The Suns have been great defensively ranked 3rd in Drtg and 5th in Pace. They have however been giving up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position. I really like the value we're seeing here for a line Dejounte has hit in over 50% of his games. Despite how good the Suns are defensively this bet is no less than a 40% chance to hit in my calculations. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Chris Paul v SAS
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 6 games this season. Including 1 of his last 5 games. Last season vs the Spurs he hit this line in 1 of 2 contests. This year the Spurs are 4th in Pace, so uptempo and about average defensively. In terms of Point Guard defense they're giving up plenty of points and assists. CP3 is a master level Point Guard. He could score well in this matchup especially if it's time to call his own number, but we're betting on him to facilitate for his team today. He's shown time and time again over a 17 year career a willingness and ability to get guys the ball where they can score it. So when a bet like this comes with these odds I'm happy to take it. Go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Ja Morant v UTA
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Ja Morant 2 units. Take odds over $4. He's hit this line in 6 games thus far this season. Up against a Utah Jazz team he enjoyed his matchups within the playoffs, a completely different scenario in a regular-season game. But we've seen him have success in the matchup. Go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Harrison Barnes v PHI
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 in his last 5. I like the odds we're getting here although the assists could be dicey he's 10 and 7 to the under 2.5 mark so that's the way we'll play it here. Go Black Falcon 🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Performance Statistics
Giannis Antetokloumpo v ORL
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Giannis has 7 20 point triple doubles over the past 2 seasons. And has gone 1 assist short once this year. I like this matchup against the Magic he should be able to have his way out there. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
The Fundamentals
Giannis Antetokloumpo v ORL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's averaging 27.8ppg 12.2rpg 5.8apg and has hit this line in 3 games this season and about 31% of games over the past 2 seasons. Giannis can do it all out there and is playing at a very high level. The Orlando Magic aren't very good defensively Drtg 27th in the NBA. A key danger for us here is a blowout the Bucks are 13.5 point favourites and I'd tend to agree with that at home with the majority of their players healthy and available we may see the best from the defending champions. With that said if the game is close enough where we see 30 minutes plus from Giannis he's got a great shot at it. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Anthony Edwards v NOP
Stake: 2.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Good on Lads also. He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 vs the Pelicans. He's hit it in 1 of his last 5 and about 35% of his games since the All Star game last season. I like the Points here against the Pelicans his last 4 are games of 28,19,29,27 so he's enjoyed this matchup. The assist line could be dicey but he's 11 and 5 to the under 3.5 line so that's the way we're playing it. Go Anthony 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v CHI
Stake: 3.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 8 games this season and 50%of games over the past 2. Just a solid over the odds play for a fairly consistent performer. Up against a decent Bulls team. I don't see too many problems matchup wise for Domas, atleast offensively. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Bradley Beal v CHO
Stake: 1.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Beal is averaging 23.7ppg 5.2rpg 5.9apg. He's hit this line in 3 games this season and about 21% of games over the past 3 seasons. Today he faces a nice matchup against the Charlotte Hornets who are ranked 24th in Drtg and 3rd in Pace. It's a mix that leads to big point totals. They're also giving up plenty of points, 3PM and assists to the Shooting Guard position, I like Bradley Beals chances at these odds. Go Brad 🔥🔥🔥
James Harden v CLE
Stake: 1.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
James is averaging 21.2ppg 7.7rpg 8.8apg. He's hit this line in 3 games this season including 1 in the last 5. Overall he is hitting this line in about 25% of the games he's played for the Nets since last season. James started out the season slow but he's starting to find form. Over the last 5 games he's averaging 28.4ppg 7rpg 8.8apg with great FGA and FT rates. Interestingly in 26 games for the Nets without Kyrie he's averaging 28.5ppg 7rpg 11apg and has hit this line in about 26% of games. The signs are there that he is heading back to these levels of performance. He faces an ok defensive team in the Cavaliers who have a top 10 Drtg. Point Guards have scored and assisted well against the Cavs this season and I like James Hardens chances at these odds. Go James 🔥🔥🔥
Jayson Tatum v HOU
Stake: 2 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jayson Tatum is averaging 25.5ppg 8.6rpg 3.5apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 1 of his last 5. There are a couple of reasons I like this bet. #1 Jaylen Brown is in the lineup today. That's not to say he can't score with JB playing but he takes less shots and over their last 10 games together Tatum has hit this line 5 times. Another reason is they're facing the Houston Rockets today. This games profiles as a mismatch most books have the Celtics as a 12.5 point favourite and I'd tend to agree with that. If the Celtics can put the Rockets away early this will be a good spot to rest the starters and give the bench a run for coach Ime Udoka. Go JT, get your work done early and rest 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v OKC
Stake: 2 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.5
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Trae is averaging 24.7ppg 9.2apg. He's hit this line 5 times this season and faces an OKC team who have actually done a good job containing Point Guards points-wise but are giving up plenty of assists. Of course, Trae is capable of offensive explosions, but we're looking for him to set the table for his teammates today. Go Trae 🔥🔥🔥
Brandon Ingram v MIN
Stake: 1.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Brandon is averaging 22.5ppg 6.5rpg 4.6apg this season and has hit this line in 2 games. In 42 games for the Pelicans without Zion Williamson playing BI is has averaged 25.1ppg 6.6rpg 4.5apg and has hit this line 12 times. Including twice vs the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are ranked 11th in Drtg but in terms of matching Small Forwards are giving up plenty of points. Let's hope Brandon can get it going for us. Go BI 🔥🔥🔥
