Members tips for Saturday 27 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics.
Steph Curry v POR
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Take odds over $20. Steph has been playing at an MVP level to start this season averaging 28.2ppg 5.8rpg 6.8apg. He's hit this line in 3 games this season including 1 of his last 5 and was very close in 1 other. Over the past 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 11% of games including a massive 62 point game against the Trailblazers last season. I like his chances against a Trailblazers team that are 28th in Drtg they are giving up plenty of assists to Point Guards but we're taking the value odds here and hoping Steph gets it done for himself. Go Chef Curry 👨🍳👨🍳👨🍳
The Fundamentals
CJ McCollum v GSW
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
CJ is averaging 20.6ppg 4.2rpg 4.4apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 2 in his last 5 games. Up against a very formidable GSW Warriors defense. He did well in the matchup last season scoring 28 and 28 in 2 games. Looking for a bounce back from CJ here today. Go CJ 🔥🔥🔥
Anthony Davis v SAC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
AD is averaging 24.3ppg 10.3rpg 3.1apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 in his last 5. He's returning today from illness to a very nice matchup the Sacramento Kings who are 25th in the NBA in Drtg and have been giving up plenty of Points and Rebounds to opposition Centers. AD has been playing the bulk of his minutes this season at Center and I like his chances here. Go AD 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Ja Morant v ATL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Ja is averaging 25.3ppg 5.8rpg 7.1apg he has hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 in the last 5. The Atlanta Hawks are 25th in Drtg and giving up plenty of points and assists to Point Guards I like the matchup here for Ja who also hit this line vs the Hawks in a game last season. Go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray v BOS
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 18.4ppg 8.2rpg 8.2 apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 3 of his last 5. He's up against a Celtics team who have been decent defensively 11th in Drtg. We're betting here on Dejounte continuing to contribute in multiple ways for the the Spurs. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Khris Middleton
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Khris is averaging 17.1ppg 5.2rpg 4.6apg. He's hit this line in 1 game this season and about 24% of games over the past 2 seasons. The reasons we're seeing these odds are his form over the last 5 games which hasn't been great. Khris has really enjoyed his matchups with the Nuggets over the past couple of seasons averaging 24.3ppg 4.6rpg 9apg. Looking here for Khris to get back on track against an opponent he's performed well against in the past go Khris 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics.
Dejounte Murray v BOS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
He's hit 3 triple doubles thus far this season and gone very close on a few other occasions. I think this is great value here as the Spurs have really been relying on Dejounte to do it all and he's been stepping up. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Chris Paul v NYK
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
CP3 is averaging 14.1ppg 3.9rpg 10.4apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 of his last 5. The Knicks this season are ranked 16th in Drtg. In terms of Point Guard defense they are giving up some points but plenty of assists to the Point Guard position CP3s specialty. Go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Julius Randle v PHO
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $25.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books (Take without 1+ 3pt if needed.)
My Thoughts:
Julius Randle is averaging 20.4ppg 10.3rpg 5.1apg. He's hit this line in 4 games this season including 1 in his last 4. Today up against a Suns team who are 4th in the league in PACE and 3rd in Drtg. A very good defensive team, however they are giving up plenty of points and rebounds to the Point Guard position. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Anthony Edwards
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Anthony is averaging 22.8ppg 6.7rpg 3.4apg. Anthony has hit this line in 5 games this season and 1 in his last 5. He's had bang on 3 assists in 7 games this season and is 13 and 5 to the over 2.5 assist mark. The reason I really like this bet today is the matchup. The Hornets are ranked 3rd in the NBA and 21st in Drtg. It's a recipe for plenty of stats and they're also giving up plenty of points to opposition Small Forwards. Go Anthony 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine v ORL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Zach is averaging 26.1ppg 5.3rpg 3.7apg. He's hit this line in 3 games this season including 2 in his last 5 games. He's hit this line in about 31% of games since last season. The reason I really like this bet is the matchup. This season the Orlando Magic are ranked 28th in Drtg. Zach enjoyed the matchup last season also putting up 30,39,26 respectively. Let's go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
Kyle Kuzma v OKC
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Kuz is averaging 13.1ppg 9.2rpg 2.5apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season. Today he's up against the OKC Thunder who are giving up plenty of points and rebounds to opposition Power Forwards. I like Kuz chances here. His assists are up over the last 5 games, but he's 11 and 7 to the under 2.5 assist mark so that's how we're playing it here. Go Kuz 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v TOR.
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Sabonis has been delivering on the over-over a lot this season, more than the $3 odds would suggest, we are often going to be happy to play this, some matchups might change it, but if they keep giving us the odds, we are happy to play along.
Brandon Ingram v UTA
Stake: 4 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.25
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
This is a great spot, he has hit this line almost every game this season where Graham played alongside him. BI went through a recent 4 game slide coming off injury, however, in that time Graham was out, the last game before Graham went out and Graham’s first game back, Brandon Ingram hit this line again.
The books have not adjusted the line for a second consecutive game, and we are happy to get our money in here, it isn’t a lock, as no bet is, but we are happy to get on.
Jonas Valanciunas v UTA
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
JV has hit this line in 11 games this season including 2 out of his last 5 games. The Jazz are awesome defensively, but JV has had success in the past vs the Jazz hitting this line in 3 of his last 6 matchups with the Jazz. Go JV 🔥🔥🔥
Sabonis & Valanciunas Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Here we're combining the Sabonis and Valanciunas bets. Two solid big men who rebound and score fairly consistently. A key danger could be foul trouble for us here today, but if they can play starters minutes I think they're both a massive chance to hit for us today. Go JV + Sabonis 🇱🇹🇱🇹🇱🇹
