Members tips for Saturday 20 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3
The Fundamentals
Zach LaVine v DEN
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Zach LaVine has hit this line in 3 games this season and 1 in his last 5. He's hit it in about 27% of games since last season. Over the past 5 games Zach has had a real bump in his shot attempts averaging in his 19.6FGA and 8.8 3PA over that span of games. Jokic is out today for the Nuggets who have been good defensively with him in the lineup. Let's see if Zach and the Bulls can take advantage. Go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
Chris Paul v DAL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Chris Paul has hit this line 6 games this season including 2 in his last 5. He's hit it in about 23% games over his last 2 seasons. We've been on CP3 for this line and he's hit it for us a few times. It's not to say I don't believe in CP3s ability to shoot and score the ball he's shooting 46/32/84 which are all a little below career average. It's the fact he's only attempting 10.8FGa per game this season he's really been letting the other guys do it and seems like he's got a switch in the 4th quarter of games where he really turns it on. Go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Pascal Siakam v SAC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Pascal is averaging 14.4ppg 6.4rpg 4.4apg. He's hit this line in 2 games this season. Incl 2 of his last 5. He's hit this line in about 28% of his games since last season. I like Spicy P here in a matchup with the Kings who are top 10 in the NBA in Pace and 25th in Drtg. He's averaged 23.75ppg 8.5rpg 6apg vs the Sacramento Kings in his last 4 games. More of the same please, go Spicy 🌶🌶🌶
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Giannis Antetokounmpo v OKC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Giannis is averaging 28ppg 11rpg 5.8apg. He's hit this line 3 games this season. He's hit this line in about 30% of games over the past 2 seasons. Today the Bucks face the OKC Thunder team who are ranked 13th in Drtg and 12th in PACE. They have been decent defensively but backing Giannis to get this done for us a line he's very capable of hitting. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Paul George v NOP
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
PG is playing at a high level this season averaging 26.7ppg 8rpg 5.1apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 1 in the last 5. I see this game today as a good spot for Paul George to score the Pelicans are last in the NBA in DRtg and there should be plenty of matchups for him to attack. Go PG 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Jerami Grant v GSW
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jerami is averaging 18ppg 4.3rpg 2.3apg. Jerami has hit this line in 4 games this season. 2 games in his last 5 and about 40% of his games over the past 2 seasons. Today they face a very good defensive team, who play at a fast pace, the Golden State Warriors. However with Steph, Draymond and Iguodala and Porter Jr resting the second half of a back to back I think this is a nice spot for Jerami to have a good game. Go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo Ball v IND
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 18.8ppg 7.4rpg 7.5apg and has hit this line in 5 games this season, including 1 vs the Charlotte Hornets. He's hit this line in 1 of his past 5 games. Today he faces an Indiana Pacers team that are 16th in DRtg however they are giving up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position. Go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Anthony Davis v BOS
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
AD is averaging 23.8ppg 10.8rpg 2.9apg. He's hit this line in 5 games thus far this season and about 25% of his career games for the Lakers. Today he faces the Boston Celtics a team who has been good defensively this year AD has had good games offensively against the Celtics over the past few years and we're looking for that to continue today. LeBron is listed as a gametime decision but regardless of LeBron playing or not AD is paying great odds to hit this line as he hits it with with without if LBJ does end up playing it could help enhance what AD does. Go AD 🔥🔥🔥
James Harden v ORL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $9.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
James is averaging 20.3ppg 7.6rpg 8.8apg. He's yet to hit this line but in 7 games during his Nets career. The signs are pointing to Harden getting back to his best he's attempting 9.6FT per game over his past 5 games averaging 24.6ppg 7.2rpg 9.4apg. Today Kevin Durant is out and he's up against an Orlando Magic team ranked bottom 5 in the league in Drtg. I see it as a really good spot for James Harden to do his best work. Go James 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results count towards final statistics
Russell Westbrook v BOS
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
We have played this bet already with LeBron out, but as he is a Game Time Decision today we play it small to have a piece but with a lower stake for the change in his injury status.
