Members tips for Sunday 21 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Giannis Antetokounmpo v ORL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Giannis 2 units. Take odds over $5. He's averaging 27.5ppg 11.7rpg 5.9apg. A great all around player he's hit this line 3 games this season and about 30% of games since last season. He was very close for us yesterday and faces the Orlando Magic today who are ranked 27th in Drtg I like Giannis chances here. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Anthony Edwards v MEM
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Anthony is averaging 22.5ppg 6.6rpg 3.5apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 game in his last 5 and has also already hit this line vs the Grizzlies. The assist line could be dicey here, we don't have an alt line to work with and Anthony is 10 and 5 to the under 3.5 assist mark so we'll play the odds here. For their part the Grizzlies are 10th in Pace, 28th in Drtg and giving up plenty of points to the Small Forward position. I like Anthony's chances for a big game here. Go Anthony 🔥🔥🔥
Harrison Barnes v UTA
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's averaging 20ppg 7.5rpg 2.3apg. He's hit this line in 9 games this season including once vs the Jazz. He's hit this line in 1 game of his last 5 so pretty quiet recently. The Jazz have been good defensively this season but Harrison has shown he can score and rebound on them with a 25 point 15 rebound effort early in the season. More of the same please Harrison. Go Black Falcon 🔥🔥🔥
Andre Drummond v POR
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Andre is averaging 7.3ppg 10.8rpg 2.2apg this season. However over his last 6 games all as a starter with Embiid out injured he's averaging 9.3ppg 14.2rpg 1.8apg and has hit this line in 3 games of the 6. Over the course of his career Andre has proven one thing over and over. He's one of the best rebounders to ever do it. 24.59% TRB% that's the best mark ever, more than the worm himself Dennis Rodman, if he plays, he boards simple equation. Today he faces a Portland team who are decent on the glass, but not formidable. Go Andre do your thing. As the saying goes the boardman gets paid, get us paid 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All results count towards final performance statistics.
Andre Drummond v POR
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $30
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Now before we get into this. It's unlikely this bet hits, Andre isn't a featured option on the 76ers USG%18.6. However the way he gets this done for us is rebounding, he cleans the glass and puts it in. He's hit this line 65 games in his career or close to 10% of the games he's played. Last season he hit it in 3 of 25 games for the Cavaliers. If he has the role there's a massive chance he cleans the glass and a smaller chance he gets the 20 points. He's hit a 17 point 20 rebound game this season. Let's see if he can go 1 step further today. Go Andre Drummond 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Bradley Beal v MIA
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Bradley Beal is averaging 23.9ppg 5.3rpg 5.7apg he's hit this line in 4 games this season including once vs the Heat last game out and 2 games in his last 5. We went very close with Brad Beal last game vs the Heat. I've adjusted his assist line and points line and taken a little less odds, for a slightly higher probability of hitting. The Heat are very good defensively so it will be a big ask but I think Brad is a good enough player and in good enough form to hit it. Go Bradley Beal 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v NOP
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Domantas is averaging 17.6ppg and 11.2rpg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 2 of his last 5. He's hit this line in 51% of games over the past 2 seasons. I like his chances here and the fact they're giving us these odds for this line vs the Pelicans who're ranked last in the NBA in Drtg I think it's a great spot. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Malcolm Brogdon v NOP
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Malcolm has averaged 21.7ppg 6.6rpg 6.2apg this season and is a steady contributor for the Pacers. He's hit this line in 4 games this season and about 25% of games over the past 2 seasons. Today up against the Pelicans who are giving up plenty of points and assists to Point Guards I think Malcolm has a great chance to have a great game. Go Malcolm 🔥🔥🔥
Sabonis & Brogdon Combo SGM.
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $12.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
They starters were benched down the stretch against the Hornet yesterday. Coach Rick Carlisle let the bench unit bring the Pacers back into the game and didn't use his starters. I think this works in our favour a couple of ways 1. They'll be abit more rested. 2. Motivated to come out and perform better. They've hit these lines together in 2 games this season and about 16% of games over the past 2 seasons. Today against the Pelicans is a great opportunity for Domas and Malcolm to bounce back offensively. Go Pacers 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo Ball v ATL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 6 games this season. Once in his last 5 games. Last season he enjoyed his matchups with the Atlanta Hawks including posting a 20 point triple double in one game. This season the Hawks are 28th in Drtg and have been giving up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position. LaMelo has been doing plenty of that. Go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Jayson Tatum v OKC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 5 games this season including his last 2 games. Tatum hits these marks plenty with Brown out of the lineup. He's hot now hitting this line his last 2 games and has a good opportunity here against an OKC team that give up plenty of points and rebounds to opposition Forwards. Go JT🔥🔥🔥
Early Bets:
The Fundamentals
RJ Barrett v HOU
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None offered.
My Thoughts:
RJ Barrett is averaging 15.6ppg 5.8rpg 2.4apg this season and has hit this line in 3 games. Over the past 2 seasons RJ has hit this line in 26% of games. Over his last 5 he’s been reasonably quiet offensively but I see this matchup as a massive opportunity for RJ to get back on track. The Houston Rockets are bottom 10 in the league in Drtg, number 1 in the league in Pace and give up plenty of points to the Small Forward position. Which is where RJ plays the bulk of his minutes Go RJ 🔥🔥🔥
