Member’s Tips for Saturday 6 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Paul George v MIN
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's playing at an MVP calibre level at the moment. Similar to his "MVP" season lol. In all seriousness if we ignore what PG says in the media and judge him by his numbers and on court performance he's an awesome player. He's hit this line 2 games this season and in the last season he was playing at this level 18-19 he hit it 6 times. So he's more than capable and we're getting good odds here against a Timberwolves team that are giving up a tonne of points to the Small Forward position.
LaMelo Ball v SAC
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is listed as probable against the Kings. The Kings are ranked bottom 10 in defense and top 10 in Pace. This is a recipe for a very high scoring game with the Hornets also ranked top 10 in Pace. Let's go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v POR
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Domantas a big multi skilled big man. He's hit this line in 28 of his last 71 games including 2 this season and 1 of 1 vs the Trailblazers. Lets go big fella, do your thing 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v GSW
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.80+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Jonas sees a nice matchup today against the Golden State Warriors who have been playing small. It will be hard for our man defensively. But he should have a nice game on offense against the Warriors, especially with Brandon Ingram out.
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Ja Morant v WAS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
Ja has been on a tear to start the season averaging 27ppg 5.5rpg 7.5apg on good shooting splits 52/36/74. Do I believe the improvement is real?
Yes, I think he's turning into a bona fide superstar. We're betting here that he uses all his dribble penetration and court vision to get the guys other going today. The Wizards have been playing bottom 10 point guard defense, but are especially bad when it comes to giving up assists to Point Guards. Have fun enjoy the show and go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v BKN
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes (with the assist line over 2.5 assists @7.95. I'd recommend to bet 1.5 units. Official tip above).
My Thoughts:
Jerami hit this line for us yesterday and has hit it twice on the season. He's playing the second half of a back to back against the Nets. Now he doesn't have the best career numbers in back to backs however this is a little easier as the Pistons are playing at home. There is no travel factor involved. For their part the Brooklyn Nets have been getting killed by wing players and Jerami plays plenty of his minutes on the wing and only some inside. Go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes & Pointsbet.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is in the midst of a breakout season averaging career highs across the board, he has hit this line in 3 out of 8 games and is a real triple double threat. He's averaging 34.1 MPG and 16.9 FGA. He went very close to this line against the Magic last time they played in the Spurs season opener. For their part the Magic have been playing amazing defense against the Point Guard position however they have only played 2 games where the oppositions point guard was the "main guy". I'm leaning towards Dejountes' breakout being a little more sustainable than the Magic defense. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Giannis Antetokounmpo v NYK
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes & Sportsbet (On SB, I'd look to play the alt under 29 points 1.5 units @$7.75 )
My Thoughts:
Giannis has hit this line 2 games this season and 14 games since last season. He's hit it vs the Knicks with Jrue Holiday in the lineup. Does that mean he will definately hit it today? No. But it goes to show that he can while playing alongside a quality Point Guard. Let's go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Fred VanVleet v CLE
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
16 games of his last 58. 1 game so far this season. The Cavs are giving up plenty of Points to the Point Guard position and a little less assists. Lets go Fred do your thing 🔥🔥🔥
