Member’s Tips for Sunday 7 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Chris Paul v ATL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet.
My Thoughts:
CP3 is off to a great start this season in terms of his passing averaging over 12.2apg. He's hit this line in 5 out of 7 games and sees a matchup against the Hawks who are giving up plenty of assists to Point Guards and not many points. I think it's nicely setup for Chris Paul to go and setup his team mates. Go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v PHX
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
It is possible we might be betting on some Trae Over points soon if this line keeps coming down, today we stick with under points and over assists. He has done this twice against the Suns and several times this season as well, last year this would also of been a good bet. Go Trae, pass the ball!
Russell Westbrook v POR
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes & Pointsbet.
My Thoughts:
Averaging 20.2ppg 8.4rpg 8.1apg. With LeBron out and Anthony Davis listed as questionable. I think today is the day we get the full Russell Westbrook experience. He's hit this line once so far this season let's see if he can make it twice. Lets go Brodie 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Jimmy Butler v UTA
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Jimmys off to a good start this season. He's averaging 24.4ppg 6.5rpg 5.1apg. Two of the top defenses in the league face off this morning so it should be a hard fought game. Jimmy has hit this line 1 game this season and 17 times since last season. Go Jimmy.
Joel Embiid
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.50+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Now before we get started Joel healthy in his prime is the best player in the league IMO. No other player has the 2 way impact except for Giannis difference being Embiid can hit his FTs and 3s at a high clip. I had money on him for MVP at odds and was counting my winnings until injury struck.
This is the issue with Embiid. Health. And from what I've seen thus far this season he isn't healthy. The numbers paint another picture also he's scoring a career low 28.2% of his points in the paint and also shooting a career low 41.2% from the field. Do I think these numbers hold over the course of the full season? No. But it tells us something is up atm. The only area where Joel is really performing well statistically is passing averaging a career high 4.1apg. My take is that he's letting other guys take the load and saving his body a little.
Joel has hit this line in 4 of 8 games this season including 1 of 1 vs the Chicago Bulls. He has one 30 point 18 rebound stand out effort on the season, but other than that has been very quiet. The Bulls for their part are a top 10 defensive unit which is a little surprising they are doing ok against the Center position again surprising but it's how it is and why they are 6-2 to start the season.
Zach LaVine v PHI
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet
My Thoughts:
The Bulls are off to 6-2 start this season and Zach LaVine has been a massive part of it. He's been doing a little bit of everything this season and has hit this line 4 of 8 games. 23 games in total since last season.
Jayson Tatum v DAL
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 2 games this season and is averaging 22.7ppg 8.1rpg 3.4apg. So a slow start for Jayson. His teammate Jaylen Brown is listed as out for the game vs the Mavericks. In his last 14 games without JB Tatum has hit this line 7 times, he really lifts and the Celtics will need a big performance from him if they want to win on the road in Dallas.
Early Bets
The Fundamentals
Nikola Jokic v HOU
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.5+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet
My Thoughts:
The reigning MVP is playing at an MVP calibre level this season. He’s averaging 25.1ppg 13.4rpg 5.6apg and has hit this line in 2 of 8 games this season, 29 of his past 80. He faces the Rockets tomorrow a team he hit this line against in 2 games last season and went close to hitting 3 triple doubles against. Now the Rockets are the worst team in the league when it comes to guarding opposing Centers , tomorrow they face a great Center. My take is that the Nuggets will run through Jokic like they do and he will be able to score, rebound and assist well. But will lean towards facilitating a little more than scoring.
