Member’s Tips for Monday 1 November
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Anthony Davis v HOU
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
LeBron is listed as questionable for tonight's game vs the Rockets. AD looks to me to be getting back to his best and has hit this line 2 games already this season. He's hit this line in 26 games of 104 for the lakers but 18 of 62 in 19-20 he looks to be getting back to that kind of form averaging 26.2ppg 11.2rpg and 2.7apg through 6 games this year. Go AD 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Donovan Mitchell v MIL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.25+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Spida has already started to replicate his assists and rebounds numbers from last year, with a slight drop in shooting % to start this year, I’m happy to see odds for the under points here, even if he was shooting as per last year this bet would be a play, and on recent form it ticks the boxes we want.
Jerami Grant
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jerami Grant went extremely close to this for us yesterday falling short by one 3PM. He's hit this line one time already this season and faces a Brooklyn team he averaged 24.33ppg against last season. Lets go Jerami
Early Bets
The Fundamentals
De’Aaron Fox v DAL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes
My Thoughts:
De'Aaron hit this line in about 33% of games since last season including 1 game thus far this season. In terms of the matchup he’s averaging 25.25ppg 4.25rpg 9.25apg in his last 4 games against the Mavericks so has enjoyed the matchup, outperforming his averages over the same time span. He also has solid Sunday game splits. I think this is a good spot for De'Aaron, although the Mavericks have been playing good PG defense this season. I like him to give this a real good go.
LaMelo Ball v POR
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None preferred
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 17.3ppg 5.5rpg 6.0apg early this season has hit this line 12 times in his career incl 1/1 v the Blazers and 2/6 this season. The Blazers are leading the league in pace early this season, the Hornets are 7th in pace. I've watched a few of their last games it's quite evident they want to play up-tempo wherever possible. I think this will factor into LaMelo having a good game and should suit his style also. One factor against LaMelo bet is the Trailblazers are playing very good defense vs the Point Guard position to this point. I’m not sure if that’s for real or we are about to see regression here from Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. Their Trailblazers teams have been below average defensively for the better part of a decade. Looking for a run and gun game, I’m sure these 2 teams will put on a show. Let’s go LaMelo.
LaMelo Ball x De’Aaron Fox
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None preferred
My Thoughts:
Two young, uptempo style Point Guards. With pretty strong data to support the bets. Facing what should be favorable matchups (especially LaMelo thinking a very high scoring game in that one). Also side note this style of bet is also a little easier to cheer home we’re on all overs here.
