Member’s Tips for Sunday 31 October.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3
The Fundamentals
Nikola Jokić v MIN
Stake: 2. Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in about 27% of recent(ish) games, we're getting big overs here. He's come back from injury and looked very good against against Nuggets. Of course Jokic is awesome and can really put up points. But he's also a great facilitator and we're getting great odds for a play like this.
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
John Collins v PHI
Stake: 2. Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
18 games of last 68, 1 game so far this season. Playing a shade under 29mpg averaging 17.6ppg 10.4rpg this is just a solid line that John Collins hits fairly often.
Ja Morant v MIA
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet.
My Thoughts:
Now Ja is in the midst of a breakout season and I do think it's the real deal. However he has struggled mightily against the Heat since he's been in the league. I think he may look to facilitate a little more than score today, he's hit this line in about 41% of games since last season, yet to have a real off night this year I think this may be it.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
An early candidate for SGM MVP, again we get lines and odds I’m happy to see. He’s collected a few times for us in the last week, one more Shai?
Today’s Bets: Part 1
The Fundamentals
Jerami Grant v ORL
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.40+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Has hit this over 33% of the time last season and 1 game of 2 vs Orlando. Jerami is listed as probable has hit this line 1/3 this season averaging 33.3mpg and close to 16FGa he should get a big opportunity to hit this for us.
Julius Randle v NOP
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Randle is someone we bet different styles on depending on his history as well as some recent form and how the bookies odds are moving from one game to the next, he is a favourite of ours and today we go for the points!
Fred VanVleet v Pacers
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet without the Threes, at slightly lower odds.
My Thoughts:
We saw how Fred can get hot in a hurry yesterday. Let's see if he can go a little better for us today. He's the league leader in MPG so if he puts his mind to scoring he will have plenty of opportunity to do it.
Zach LaVine v UTA
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Over a season I expect Zach to hit this about 1 in every 6 games. Has hit in 1 game thus far this season. Zach is averaging 34mpg 25.4ppg 5.2rpg 4.4apg 17.4FGA. For the odds on offer here I think Zach is a value play.
Giannis Antetokounmpo v SAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet.
My Thoughts:
Some statistics behind this bet: 3 of 5 this season. 55 of 128 games during the last 2 seasons. 34 of last 66 games. 5 of last 5 vs the Spurs.
Now I know Giannis is coming off a 40 point game so he's somewhat hot. With Jrue Holiday and Brook Lopez still out Giannis workload has increased. But there are still plenty of ways this bet hits happy with the line and odds we're getting here.
Chris Paul v CLE
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
The Point God returns to the SGM Roster. CP3 hit this line about 20% of games last season. He is an elite level master point guard, averaging 12pp, 4.3rpg, 10.6apg let's see him really run the show for us today.
Early Release
The Fundamentals
Jayson Tatum v WAS
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jayson has hit this line in 18 games since last season and in 2 contests this season. He struggled last game out vs the Wizards going 9/22 from the field and 4/8 from the FT line. Looking forward to Jayson Tatum getting back on track against his childhood friend Bradley Beal and the Wizards. Let’s go Jayson 🔥🔥🔥
Bradley Beal v BOS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet. Note if the rebound line moves to under 5.5 take odds over $10 and bet 1 unit only. 6 is somewhat of a key number here.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Bradley Beal is off to a slow start this season, but since the 2019-2020 season he’s hit this line about 24% of games so he’s very capable. He struggled against the Celtics last game out going 7/25 from the field and missed shots I’d expect a player of his calibre to make. He bounced back to go 11/26 from the field vs the Hawks in a win. Let’s see if Bradley Beal can continue to build momentum for us here.
Bradley Beal x Jayson Tatum
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $30+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
They’ve hit these lines against each others teams recently. Bradley Beal and Jayson Tatum are close friends away from the Basketball court. On it fierce competitors, let’s see if they can bring the best out of each other for us here.
