Member’s Tips for Friday 22 October.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full-season. Making sure you have bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to myself or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL) v DAL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
After the Hawks hired Nate McMillian this line became bread and butter for our man Bogdan. I like Bogdan in this spot add in the fact the Mavericks gave up a lot of made threes to Shooting Guards last season. Bogdan has career 3P% 38.8.
I think it's setup nicely for our man Bogdan to have a good game.
Giannis Antetokounmpo v MIA
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
Giannis has dished out 10 assists multiple times against the Heat, Bam does a good job of guarding him and Giannis makes the smart play and moves the ball more.
The question here is will Lopez being out make a difference to that? Giannis matchup stays the same, so I like this line with the juicy assists adding value but he’s done it before against the same opposition.
Paul George v GSW
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Without Kawhi in the lineup PG nailed this line at a decent rate, he also hit it slightly less with Kawhi but still well within what we need to make the bet.
PG is one player I like to bet on a lot, the market seems to have some very personal feelings about him and prices often get moved right in our favour when we come in with a mind focused on the data and not focussing on the hot takes.
Stephen Curry v LAC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
This line is “Classic Curry”
We have to stay nimble on Curry, he is one of the great players to bet on, but , with Klay returning soon it’s going to be interesting to see what the market thinks will happen and where we can get the value.
