Member’s Tips for Thursday 21st October.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full-season. Making sure you have bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to myself or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2 of 2
The Fundamentals
Ja Morant v CLE
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
He will improve gain but the bookmakers have added an extra 4 points to his average from last year, so we play the value on the Unders Points.
Devonte’ Graham v PHI
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is a line Devont’e has hit plenty as a starter and he has form hitting it against the 76ers also.
Of course he's on a new team but I see him fitting into a little bit of an increased role. The Pelicans have brought him in and paid him well.
Interestingly in the games where he hit this line last season he played over 30mpg and I see him fitting in the starting PG role in New Orleans.
Dejounte Murray v ORL
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
With DeMar DeRozan gone I project a breakout year for Dejounte with great power. Comes great responsibility. He's shown flashes of great playmaking let's see if he can get it done for us today.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbook.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
They gave SGA the Max let's see if OKC let him cook. Atleast until they need to start losing.
This is a line he hit plenty last year, I don’t see why we can’t expect him to hit it at a rate good enough this season either.
CJ McCollum
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbook.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Hit this at a fair clip last season and had great success scoring the ball in matchups with the Sacramento Kings as did most of the league.
Nikola Jokic v PHX
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
This is a line he missed by 1 assist against Phoenix last year but he has form hitting this multiple times through a season, it is a big over the odds play, we love to see these, it might take a few tries to get paid off, but the value is there in the long run.
Today’s Bets: Part 1
The Fundamentals
Jerami Grant v CHI
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jerami Grant is coming off a breakout season in which he averaged 22.3ppg 4.6rpg 2.8apg.
In 2 contests vs Chicago, he scored 43 and 26 points respectively so seems to like the matchup, and Chicago don't profile as a very good team defensively this year, though that remains to be seen.
Malcolm Brogdon v CHA
Stake: 1.5 Units Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet, Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Brogdon has confirmed in the press he is playing and with numerous injuries for the Pacers I expect Malcolm will have a decent chance to his this line.
This is right around the mark he hit against the Hornets in 2 matchups last year.
Fred VanVleet vs WSH
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is a spot that FVV has proven he can hit with all different types of Raptors lineups, he does it at full strength and without Lowry, happy we are getting this on offer again this year.
RJ Barrett v BOS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: (Ladbrokes - Optional Aggressive Alternate, Over 2.5 Assists).
My Thoughts:
RJ Barrett is entering his 3rd season in the NBA. Each season he has improved his skillset and shooting %. I think there is a good chance we will see further developments from RJ this season.
It will be interesting how it plays out with the Knicks now that Evan Fournier and Kemba Walker are with the team. My take is that RJ will still be a member of the starting 5 and get plenty of looks.
Anthony Edwards v HOU
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
This is a line Edwards proved very comfortable in hitting after the All Star Break, his opportunity increased and his offensive game came along in leaps and bounds. and with the future of the franchise in his hands expect to see him get his opportunities to score night in night out in the trio with Towns and Russell.
The question mark, that he will have to prove, is if he can get his assists and rebounding numbers up?
