Members tips for Monday 15 November
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Nikola Jokic v POR
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: TAB, Ladbrokes & Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in his last 2 games this season and is really finding a balance passing the ball, rebounding and scoring, lately, his teammates are making shots. I like this line in this matchup today as the Trailblazers are playing decent defence against the Center position and because of his recent form. Go Joker 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Zach LaVine 1.5 units. Take odds over $6. He's hit this line in 1 game this season and about 20% of games since last year. In terms of the matchup he's enjoyed it putting up games of 45 points and 26 points in his last 2 vs the Clippers. The Clippers are top 10 in Pace this season and 3rd in Drtg it'll be a tough game for Zach for sure but he can catch fire at any moment and has enjoyed this matchup in seasons past. Go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Trae Young v MIL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: TAB, Ladbrokes & Pointsbet.
My Thoughts:
Bread and butter bet this, we expect him to hit this around a third of a time in this spot, hoping the Bucks PG defense can keep his scoring contained and give us a really good chance to hit this today.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v OKC
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred
My Thoughts:
Shai is averaging 22.5ppg 5.1rpg 4.4apg. He's hit this line in 4 games this season and in about 47% of games since last season including 1 game vs the Nets. Overall the Nets have been good defensively this season top 10 in the league and they are also top 10 in Pace. I like the odds we are getting here for SGA at this line. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Steph Curry v CHO
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Steph has started to find his stroke he's averaging 30.8ppg over his last 5. Overall he's hit this line in 3 games this season and about 28% of games since last season. Today he faces the Charlotte Hornets who rank bottom 3 in the League in Drtg and top 3 in the league in Pace. It's a nice mix for Steph to get cookin. Lets go Chef Curry 🔥🔥🔥
Chris Paul v HOU
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred
My Thoughts:
CP3 has hit this line in 5 games this season including 1 vs the Rockets and about 22% of games over the past 2 seasons. One of the reasons I like this bet is his recent form CP3 is averaging 11apg this season the most he has averaged since 08-09 he's really assisting at a very high level. Another reason is they face the Houston Rockets today who are top 10 in the league in Pace but just average defensively. Lets go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Early Bets:
The Fundamentals
Russell Westbrook v SAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred
My Thoughts:
Westbrook is averaging 21.4ppg 9.7rpg 9apg without LeBron in the lineup. He’s hit triple doubles in 3 of 7 without LeBron and gone close in one other this season. Now we’ve been very close to hitting on this bet the past 2 times we’ve bet it ending up on the wrong side of the points line both times. I’ve sacrificed some odds and dropped the points line here to avoid having to run the over under gauntlet with Russ. For their part the San Antonio Spurs are playing at the 4th highest PACE in the league putting up 92.9FGA per game. The Spurs have been above average defensively but not great. The Lakers rank first in the league in pace and are putting up 91.1FGA per game. This game profiles as a very up tempo game where both teams want to play fast and there will be an opportunity to rack up counting stats. Russ has hit this line in 46% of his games over the past 2 seasons and 42% this year without LeBron. I think in tomorrows game the probability he hits this line against this opposition is somewhere in that range. Go Russ, do your thing 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray v LAL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 18.1ppg 7.7rpg 7.8apg on 17.1 FGA this season. He’s taken on a large role for the San Antonio Spurs this season and hit this line in 3 out of 12 games, including an OT game vs the Lakers. He has scored 15+ points in 10 of 12 games this season. Dejounte has some similarity to Westbrook in the way he rebounds the ball at a very high rate for a point guard using his massive 2.08m wingspan,he likes to grab and go. Also creating alot of transition opportunities for his team averaging 2 steals per game. Overall because of the pace of the game and style of game I’m expecting we see I think this is about a 33% chance to hit for Dejounte. He’s only hit this line in 25% of games this year but has gone within 1 or 2 stats another 4 games. Tomorrow he will have as good a shot as any to hit it. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Russell Westbrook x Dejounte Murray
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred
My Thoughts:
The master do it all Point Guard faces the apprentice do it all Point Guard in what should be an up tempo game run and gun style game. I don’t know who will come out on top but I’m hoping it’s a good show and that these guys put up MASSIVE stat lines 🔥🔥🔥
