Member’s Tips for Thursday 4 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Anthony Edwards v LAC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.5+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Now I know this is a lot of rebounds for a shooting guard but we're leaning into a couple of things here. #1 Elite tier athlete for his size and has been rebounding at a high clip this year. #2 LA Clippers pace of play ranked 7th in the NBA they really push the tempo and get up and down. Also he's hit this line in 4 of 6 games this season.
Nikola Jokić v MEM
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $9.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Jokic 1.5 units. Jokic is a generational talent who can do it all. Of course if he put his mind to dropping 40 points he could do that. But he's also hit this triple double line in 12 games of his last 79. I've watched a fair bit of the Nuggets this season and he still possesses his passing touch, vision and willingness to make the right play. The reason in my opinion his assist numbers are down are guys just aren't making shots off his passes, we're betting here for a turnaround today. Go Joker, go Nuggets
Luka Doncic v SAS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet (Better price at $9.83 but markets suspended currently here).
My Thoughts:
Luka is one of the players who hasn’t been scoring as well as last season, but, he has been making up for it in other areas, he’s hit this line twice recently against the Spurs and twice this season.
De’Aaron Fox v NOP
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
I know you're probably thinking what in the Fox. But I truly believe he'll shoot closer to his career averages. 45.5FG% 31.9 3P% than his 36.4FG% and 15.4% from 3 on the early season. He's hit this line once this season and 19 times in the past 2 including absolutely crushing the Pelicans today's a nice chance for him to get on track at home vs a depleted opponent in the second half of a back to back.
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Spencer Dinwiddie v TOR
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Hit this line in 26 of last 73 however 4 of last 5 vs the Raptors and 1 game this season.
CJ McCollum v CLE
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Although the Blazers have been struggling CJ has started the season shooting and scoring well. He has hit 29 3 pointers on 42.6% shooting thus far great marks. Today he faces a Cavaliers team which has been playing great Shooting Guard defense (his primary position). However for the Trailblazers he plays as the lead ball handler at times throughout games and the Cavaliers have been about league average vs the position. He's hit this line in 2 games this season lets make it 3. Go CJ 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v NYK
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line 3 of 7 games this season. He was 1 of 3 vs the Knicks hitting this line last season. I think this points total is a little low for Domantas and with Brogdon in the lineup today my take is that he'll do a little less initiation of the offense and shot creation.
Julius Randle v IND
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.50+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Julius is falling all around his regular statlines, each day I work out which is the best value to hit for him today, today we are back to one of our favourite Over, Under & Under Players.
Zach LaVine v PHI
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Zachs hit this line in 20 of his past 65 NBA games and 3 or 7 this season. The Bulls are ticking along nicely on offense this season 7th in Ortg (points produced per 100 possessions) Philadelphia on the other hand number 1 in offensive rating but also playing the slowest pace in the NBA. This will be an intriguing clash and all though likely a slow pace it has the potential to be high scoring. Go Zach do you thing 🔥🔥🔥
Jayden Brown v ORL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Jaylen has hit this line in about 25% of games since last season incl 1 of 2 vs the Magic. Boston have had issues closing out games this season. For his part Jaylen has been pretty good 26.8ppg 2.8 3PM on 37.8% shooting bang on career average. Lets go JB🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v BKN
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.35+
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Sportsbet.
My Thoughts:
We have a low assist line here, he has a pattern of scoring and not passing, but a more often pattern of scoring less and assisting more. With roughly a 1/3 chance of this bet coming in, at $4.54 we love this play.
