Members tips for Friday 17 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Joel Embiid v BKN
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Joel is averaging 23.8ppg 11.8rpg 4.2apg. He's hit this line in 7 games this season including 3 of his last 5. In terms of the matchup Joel his this line in 2 of 4 games vs the Knicks last season. This season Nets have been good defensively. Today the Nets 9 players out today injured or in health and safety protocols. I think Joel will take advantage here and go to work. Go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Late Out : Malcolm Brogdon v DET
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Malcolm is averaging 19.7ppg 5.5rpg 6.2apg. He's hit this line in 7 games this season. Over the past 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 28% of games. Up against a below average defensive team in the Detroit Pistons I think today is a good day for Malcolm to score well. He also hit this line in a game against the Pistons last season. Go Malcolm 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v DET
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Domantas is averaging 18.5ppg 11.9rpg 4.1apg. Today up against a Pistons team ranked last in the NBA in FG% I think there could be plenty of rebounds for Domantas to grab. Go get it Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Late out: Brogdon & Sabonis v DET
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This Pacers duo has hit this lines in 3 games combined this season. I think the mix is right for them to go for it again today against the Pistons. Go Domas and Malcolm 🔥🔥🔥
Julius Randle v HOU
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Julius is averaging 19.5ppg 9.9rpg 5.2apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season. On the season his FGA and FG% are both down. He went very close to a triple double against the Rockets in their first matchup this year and I think we could see more of the same here. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Joel Embiid v BKN
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Joel Embiid 1 unit. Take odds over $10. This is an expansion on the bet above. With so many players out who will defend Joel? Nic Claxton? Not sure how that goes, maybe well, maybe haven't seen it. For what it's worth Joel has hit this line in about 14% of games over the past 2 seasons including 2 games this season. Go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Julius Randle v HOU
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Julius Randle triple double play. He's hit 6 triple doubles last season. Gone close a few times this year. The Houston Rockets are ranked #1 in Pace and turn the ball over a tonne. If there's a team to have a big opportunity to triple double it's the Rockets. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
