NBA SGMs Sunday 18th April 2021
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice. Anyone who only put the same amount on every bet would have made less than 50% of the profit made by following our Staking Advice and Volume of Bets.
Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo. See the example below.
Main Release - Part 1 of 1
Russ, Stake 2 units. Accept odds over $3.00
Jerami, Stake 1.5 units. Accept odds over $4.25
Sexton, Stake 2 units. Accept odds over $3.00
Garland, Stake 1.5 units. Accept odds over $4.75
Tatum, Stake 1.5 units. Accept odds over $5.00
Jrue Holiday, Stake 2 units. Accept odds over $4.00
Giannis, Stake 1.5 units. Accept odds over $5.00
Booker, Stake 2 units. Accept odds over $3.75
Steph, Stake 1.5 units. Accept odds over $5.00
Early Release
Analysis
Kuzma has hit this line 8 times this season. He's hit this line 4 times in the last ten games. The points are well above his season average; however, he has a solid recent trend tied to his opportunity due to LeBron, AD and Markieff Morris being out. He's attempted 85 3 pointers in his last ten games. Compared to his season average of 5.8 3 points attempts per game, it's a massive uptick. The Lakers production has to come from somewhere, and Kyle has been given his opportunity and is producing.
Factors against.
The Jazz has a formidable team defence ranked 4th in the league drtg. The number 1 defence in the league in terms of avg points to opposing small forwards 18.2ppg (Kuzma plays SF and PF).
The final word.
In my estimation, Kuzma has about a 30% chance of hitting this line despite Jazz defence's level due to his ability and increase in opportunity.
Bet Details.
Kyle Kuzma, Stake 1.5 units. Take odds over $5.00+
