Members Tips for New Years Day 2022
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Anthony Edwards v UTA
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Anthony is returning from Health and Safety protocols. The Timberwolves are without a couple of key contributors in Karl-Anthony Towns and D'Angelo Russell. I think this will mean they lean on Anthony for more production today against the Jazz. Let's go Anthony 🔥🔥🔥
Donovan Mitchell v MIN
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
The Jazz are without Mike Conley today. Which could mean a couple of things for Donovan. Picking here he'll make the most of the opportunity in terms of scoring and his assisting to remain the same. He's averaging 25.4ppg 5apg and has hit this line in 4 of his last 10 games. Let's go Spida 🕷🕷🕷
Russell Westbrook v POR
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Russell is averaging 19.7ppg 8.1rpg 8.3apg. He's hit this line in 7 games this season including 3 in the last 5. Now the reason I really like this bet today is the matchup. In 30 career matchups Russ averages 28.7ppg 7.8rpg 8.3apg and he has 6 triple doubles in their last 10 matchups. It really seems like Russ enjoys this rivalry. Go the brodie 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results count towards final statistics.
Russell Westbrook v POR
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: 210.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
This is an expansion on the above bet. This is a line Russ has hit 3 games this season and 13 games over the past 2 seasons. If there's a guy in the NBA capable of a game like this it's the brodie and I like the value we're getting here against a Trailblazers team ranked 28th in the NBA in Drtg. Go the brodie 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
RJ Barrett v OKC
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
RJ hasn't been in the best form this season. He's still in a starting role. Today I see this as a big opportunity for RJ to take more shots with Julius Randle out of the lineup and Fournier listed as questionable. He is very capable of this with the opportunity hitting this line 31 games over the past 2 seasons. Go RJ 🔥🔥🔥
Ja Morant v SAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Both of these teams play at pace and I really like Ja here to score the ball well. He's hit this line in 10 games this season. Go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Steven Adams v SAS
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Steven Adams 1 unit. Take odds over $6. Opposition bigs are crushing the Spurs inside. And both teams play at pace. I think it could be a nice mix for Steve to really clean the glass. Go Steve 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results count towards final statistics.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v NYK
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
I like SGA here up against a Knicks team ranked 17th in the NBA in Drtg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 3 in his last 10. Let's make it 4. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Ja & Big Steve Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
They've combined to hit these lines in 4 games this season. Looking for number 5 today in what profiles as an uptempo game. Go Ja and Steve 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Jarrett Allen v ATL
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett is averaging 16.8ppg 10.8rpg. He's hit this line in 14 games this season so has shown himself to be very capable of it. Now a couple of key questions with this bet as I see it. #1 What is his conditioning like on return from protocols? #2 Rubio and Garland are out of the lineup, they feed him alot of passes for easy baskets. I think the replacement level players will give Jarrett some dimes and he'll get enough cleanup Buckets to hit this 16 point mark. Go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v CLE
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Trae is averaging 27.3ppg 9.3apg. Both of these teams are dealing with many injuries and COVID related outs. I wouldn't be totally surprised if Trae hits the over but I like this bet here. He is 26 and 5 to the under 32.5 so that's the way we'll bet here. Go Trae set up your teammates, don't score too much 🔥🔥🔥
Trae & Jarrett Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
A combination of the above multis. I think they're just good solid bets.
Pascal Siakam v LAC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Sometimes the Spice is nice and it's what we're looking for today. Fred VanVleet is back in the lineup. But I see the depleted Clippers as a matchup Pascal can take advantage off. This is a line he's hit in about 20% of games since last season so I see a nice edge here considering the circumstances. Go Spicy P, Spicy performance. Not lemon herb 🌶🌶🌶
Fred VanVleet v LAC
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
I really like FVV here. He was starting to find his stripe before missing a couple of games in protocols. Averaging 21.2ppg 5.6rpg 9.2apg over his last 5. Looking for him to return today and continue that form. He's 1st in the league in MPG at 37.9mpg hopefully he hasn't been too affected being out and plays his minutes. Go FVV 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results count towards final statistics.
Tyler Herro v HOU
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
With so many players out of the lineup we take a flyer on Tyler here. His usual role / tendency is as a scorer. Today up against a Rockets team that don't play great defense and play at pace. I like Tylers chances at these odds. Go Tyler 🔥🔥🔥
Early Bets:
The Fundamentals
Chris Paul v BOS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet, Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Chris Paul is averaging 4.1rpg 9.8apg this season. His recent trend has been to the over rebounds under assists. But I really like the value we’re seeing here. Considering CP3 has hit this line with and without Devin Booker in the lineup. Overall he’s hit this line in 14 games this season including a game against the Boston Celtics. I really like his chances tomorrow. Go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Chris Paul v BOS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet, Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
This is an expansion on the above bet, looking for CP3 to really do a good job of setting the table for his teammates. Go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine v IND
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Zach has been seeing plenty of minutes as the lead ball handler with Lonzo Ball out of the lineup. So it makes the under assists abit dicey. But on the season Zach is 25 and 5 to the under 5.5 mark so that’s the way we’re betting it here today in a matchup with the Pacers. Go Zach more buckets, less passing 🔥🔥🔥
Harrison Barnes v IND
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Harrison is averaging 17.2ppg 6.3rpg 2.4apg. He’s hit this line 1 game in his past 10 games this season. There has been some coaching change. But when I watch Harrison is still in the same role he has been playing throughout the season in terms of minutes and role on the court. To me it’s a simple matter of him making his shots. Up against a Dallas team that are about league average defensively, I think we’re getting good odds here for Harrison. Go the Black Falcon 🔥🔥🔥
