Members tips for Monday 29 November
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Pascal Siakam v BOS
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $9.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Pascal is averaging 17.7ppg 7.2rpg 3.4apg. He's hit this line in 2 games this season and about 21% of games over the past 2 seasons. Boston are a good team defensively, but I like this play at the odds we're getting here. Go Spicy P 🌶🌶🌶
Fred VanVleet v BOS
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
FVV has hit this line in 6 games this season and about 25% of games over the past 2 seasons. Today he's up against a Celtics team that have been good defensively and that he's struggled to score against in their first 2 matchups this season. Go Fred assist and rebound 🔥🔥🔥
Steven Adams v MEM
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Big Steve has hit this line in 7 games this season. Recently his playing time has fallen a little. However is still the starter and faces a very favourable matchup against the Kings who are playing at a very high pace and also giving up plenty of Point and Rebounds to opposing Centers. Looking for Steve to start well here and coach Taylor Jenkins to let him keep it going. Go Steve 🔥🔥🔥
Tyrese Haliburton v MEM
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Tyrese has hit this line in 6 games this season. Today he's up against a high tempo Grizzlies team who are ranked last in the NBA in Drtg. It should be a great opportunity for Tyrese to score. The rebounds could be close considering the pace, but he hasn't rebounded the ball at a high rate up until this point. Happy to take the odds on off here. Go Tyrese 🔥🔥🔥
Early Bets:
The Fundamentals
Stephen Curry v LAC
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Stephen Curry is averaging 28.4ppg 5.8rpg 6.9apg. He’s hit this line in 9 games this season including 2 in his last 5 games. Steph is performing at an MVP calibre level this season. He’s assisting at very high rate this season and faces a Clippers team that are 2nd in Drtg so very good defensively but still giving up plenty of assists to the Point Guard position. Go Steph 🔥🔥🔥
Stephen Curry v LAC
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Stephen Curry is averaging 28.4ppg 5.8rpg 6.9apg. He’s hit this line in 3 games this season including 1 in his last 5 games. Steph is performing at an MVP calibre level this season. Steph has hit this line in about 12% if games since last season. He’s assisting at very high rate this season and faces a Clippers team that are 2nd in Drtg so very good defensively but still giving up plenty of assists to the Point Guard position. This is our side bet. Steph has already scored 45 points against the Clippers in a game this season, if he gets it going he can be unstoppable. Go Chef Curry 👨🍳👨🍳👨🍳.
Domantas Sabonis v MIL
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Domantas is averaging 18ppg 11.5rpg this season. He’s hit this line in 10 games this season including 2 in his last 5 games. Over the past 2 seasons Domantas has hit this line in about 54% of games. In terms of the matchup he’s shown some ability to hit this line also 3 of his last 7 vs the Bucks including their matchup earlier this year in which he had 21-13-5. The Bucks are ranked 7th in the NBA in Pace and 10th in Drtg opposing Power Forwards are scoring well against them, Centers are struggling. Domantas splits his time between both positions. This is somewhat of a bread and butter play for us. We will continue to look to when the odds and matchup suits. Domantas has hit this enough against the Bucks that despite them being good inside we can take confidence that he’ll have a good chance to hit it tomorrow. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥.
Malcolm Brogdon v MIL
Stake: 1 unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes
My Thoughts:
Malcolm is averaging 20.7ppg 6.0rpg 6.2apg. Malcolm has hit this line in 4 games this season and about 24% of games over the past 2 seasons. He’s already hit this line in a matchup with the Bucks earlier this season. That was without Jrue Holiday in the lineup so it will be a tougher ask tomorrow, but at the odds on offer this is a good spot. Go Malcolm 🔥🔥🔥.
Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis v MIL
Stake: 1 unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes
My Thoughts:
Domantas and Malcolm have combined to hit these lines in 2 games this season. Including 1 vs the Bucks. The reason I like this bet are they are 2 of the more consistent performers for the Pacers. They have show over the past couple of seasons they can both get it going offensively in the same game and elevate each others games in the process. Go Domas and Malcolm 🔥🔥🔥.
Khris Middleton v IND
Stake: 1.5 units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes
My Thoughts:
Khris is averaging 17.1ppg 5.2rpg 4.8apg. He’s hit this line in 1 game this season. Against the Pacers he had his best game of the season thus far with 27-5-7. He’s hit this line in about 21% of games since last season including 3 of 4 vs the Pacers over that timeframe. The Pacers are ranked 12th in Drtg and are giving up plenty of points to opposing Small Forwards Khris primary position. Khris has been down statistically across the board this season. But looking for him to get back to his best in a matchup he has really enjoyed the past couple of seasons.🔥🔥🔥.
