Members tips for Sunday 5 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
James Harden v CHI
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
James is averaging 20.9ppg 7.9rpg 9.3apg. He's hit this line in 12 games this season including 4 of his last 5. The beard has had a few notable scoring performances this season but mostly he's been playing an all around role. The Bulls defense are ranked 6th in Drtg and are limiting points to opposition Point Guards. Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso have done a particularly good job at the point of attack. Let's go James assist, but don't score too much 🔥🔥🔥
Duncan Robinson v MIL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Duncan is averaging 11ppg 3.5rpg 1.4apg. He's hit this line in 3 games this season including 1 in his last 5. He has hit this line in about 13% of games over the past 2 seasons. The Heat are without a few of their regular starters which generally means more minutes and shots for Duncan. Go Duncan 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray v GSW
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 18.9ppg 8.4rpg 8.3apg. He's hit this line in 11 games this season including 4 in his last 5. Up against a Warriors team that are defending at a very high level 1st in Drtg. It'll be hard but happy to bet on Dejounte here at this price he's hitting this line in over half his games this season and also the Warriors pace of play should give a boost to stats this game. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥.
Steven Adams v DAL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Steven Adams 1 unit. Take odds over $15. Steve is averaging 6.5ppg 8rpg 2.7apg. He's hit this line in 3 games this season and about 12% of games over the past 3 seasons. The reason I like this bet today is the matchup. The Mavericks are giving up plenty of points and rebounds to opposing Centers. I like Steve's chances here, sometimes he really cleans the glass at a high level. Go on Steve the boardman gets paid 🔥🔥🔥
Dennis Schroder & Marcus Smart Combo SGM v POR
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.25
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jaylen Brown is listed as Out, again, so we re-play this best from yesterday, when Brown is out we love this play, it has hit over 50% of the games, when Brown is in, we wouldn’t play it at these odds.
Optional Super Action
All results count towards final statistics.
Dejounte Murray v GSW
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Dejounte has 3 triple-doubles already this season. I like his chances here at Golden State despite their awesome defense. The pace of the game will be high with both teams top 10 in pace there should be plenty of possessions for each team and the opportunity to get stats. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Early Bets:
The Fundamentals
Julius Randle v DEN
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Julius is averaging 19.9ppg 10.2rpg 5.2apg. He’s hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 in his last 5. He’s hit this line in about 20% of games since last season. For their part the Nuggets are ranked 16th in Drtg so about league average. Power Forwards have been having success scoring and rebounding vs the Nuggets. Julius has been rocks and diamonds this season. His numbers are down overall but he’s still been producing big performances from time to time. This is a favorable matchup for Julius to produce a diamond for the Knicks. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
RJ Barrett v DEN
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
RJ is averaging 14ppg 5.9rpg 2.1apg. He’s hit this line in 3 games this season. He’s hit this line in about 32% of games since last season. For their part the Nuggets are ranked 16th in Drtg so about league average. It’s no secret RJ and the Knicks starting lineup as a whole has struggled. Coach Thibodeau has shaken things up with the benching of starting point guard Kemba Walker. I’ll be interested to see if this has an impact on RJ and the Knicks as a whole performance. RJ is shooting at levels comparable to his rookie season and his role has decreased with his performance. All that said I think when the season is all said and done for the Knicks his shooting splits will be somewhere closer to last seasons numbers. Players at this stage of their career don’t generally don’t regress to the extent we’ve seen with RJ. Looking for RJ to start the bounce back tomorrow. Go RJ🔥🔥🔥
RJ Barrett x Julius Randle v DEN
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $40
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
RJ and Julius have combined to his this line in 8 games together over the past 2 seasons including 1 this season vs the Bucks. They’ve shown that they can both have big scoring games in the same game. I think this is somewhere in the range of a 5% chance they both hit given current form and roles. We’re making a small be on them both having great games tomorrow. Go RJ and Julius 🔥🔥🔥
