Members tips for Saturday 11 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Jayson Tatum v PHO
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jayson Tatum is averaging 25.7ppg 8.8rpg 3.6apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 2 of his last 5 games. Jaylen Brown is listed as out. Jayson has hit this line in 5 of his last 7 games without Jaylen. The Suns are a very good defensive team but maybe without Ayton and Booker which should open up more opportunity for Jayson. Go Jayson 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Giannis Antetokounmpo v HOU
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Giannis is averaging 27ppg 11.6rpg 5.7apg. He's hit this line in 4 games this season and about 23% of games over the past 2 seasons. I like Giannis chances here against the Rockets who are ranked 1st in the NBA in Pace and are coming into the game on the back of an incredible 7 game winning streak. That probably ends here today and with the Pace I think there could be plenty of stats for Giannis. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Jarrett Allen v MIN
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett is averaging 17.1ppg 11.3rpg. He's hit this line in 10 games this season including 2 in his last 5. Opposition Centers have had good success against the Timberwolves this season. Looking for Jarrett to continue that trend. Go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v NOP
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is a little different to our normal Jerami Grant. But I think we're getting pretty good value here. The Pelicans have been good defensively against Power Forwards and Small Forwards. Jerami for his part has hit this line in 6 games this season.
Russell Westbrook v OKC
Stake: 2 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
AD is listed as questionable. I think that will open up more opportunities for Russ to grab some boards and hit a triple double. Go the brodie 🔥🔥🔥
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v LAL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Note best odds Lads. SGA has enjoyed the matchup with the Lakers this season scoring 27 and 28 points respectively. Looking for him to take it up a notch with AD listed as questionable. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Giannis Antetokounmpo v HOU
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $13.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
This profiles as a high tempo game both teams in the top 10 in Pace. Looking for the Greek Freak to get as freaky as possible and hit a triple double for us. He should have plenty of opportunity given the likely tempo of the game. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Domantas Sabonis v DAL
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Domantas is averaging 18ppg 12rpg 4.1apg. He's hit this line in 12 games this season including 3 of his last 5. Over the past 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 44% of games over the past 2 seasons including 2/2 va the Mavericks. I really like Domas today because of the matchup he has had good performances vs the Mavericks in the past and this season they're giving up plenty of Points and Rebounds to front court players and have an average defense overall. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v DET
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jonas is averaging 18.9ppg 12rpg 2.4apg. He's hit this line in 13 games this season including 2 games in his last 5. The reason I like this bet today is the matchup. The Pistons are defending the Center position well in terms of points but they're ranked 29th in the NBA in REB% if they don't clean the glass with Jonas around he'll feast. He hit this line in 1 game vs the Pistons last season and went very close in the other. Go JV 🔥🔥🔥
Harrison Barnes v CHO
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Harrison is averaging 18.9ppg 7.1rpg 2.5apg. He's hit this line in 9 games this season. He's hit this line in about 37% of games over the past 2 seasons. The reason I like this bet today is the matchup. The Hornets are ranked 30th in the NBA in Drtg and 3rd in Pace. The icing on the cake for this bet is that they are giving up 25.3ppg to the Power Forward position which is about 4 points higher than the league median by position. Lets go the Black Falcon 🔥🔥🔥
Kevin Durant v ATL
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
KD is averaging 28.4ppg 7.7rpg 5.4apg. He's hit this line 11 games this season including 2 in the last 5. Over the past 2 seasons KD has hit this line in about 41% of games including 4 of 4 vs the Hawks. Looking to make it 5 for 5 today against a Hawks team ranked 25th in the NBA in Drtg I like his chances. Go KD 🔥🔥🔥
Fred VanVleet v TOR
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Fred is averaging 19.8ppg 5.1rpg 6.3apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 2 in his last 5 games. Over the past 2 seasons Fred has hit this line in about 22% of games including once against Knicks. He's scored 25,27 and 17 in his last 3 matchups with the Knicks and seems to enjoy the matchup go FVV 🔥🔥🔥
Pascal Siakam v NYK
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Pascal has been scoring the ball well lately. He's averaging 19.4ppg 7.4rpg 3.8apg. He goes hard to the offensive glass averaging 2 o boards per game. He could burn us on the glass but it's giving us a nice boost to the odds and I'm happy to play at this price. Go Spicy P 🌶🌶🌶
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Sabonis v Jonas Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $25.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Jonas x Domantas 1 unit. Take odds over $25. Domantas and Jonas both face nice matchups today, Domantas in particular. In terms of these bets I think the JV part is very good value at 9s. Go Jonas and Domas, do your thing 🇱🇹🇱🇹🇱🇹
James Harden v ATL
Stake: 0.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $25.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
James is averaging 9.6apg. His scoring game has been sporadic but his assist rate has been fairly consistent and he's actually his this line 3 games this season and once in the last 5. Up against an Atlanta Hawks team today giving up plenty of assists to the Point Guard position. Go James 🔥🔥🔥
KD & Harden Combo SGM
Stake: 0.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $50.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Kevin Durant x James Harden. The Easy Money Sniper and The Beard. They've combined to hit these lines 2 games this season looking for them to stay consistent to their roles this season and make it 3 games. Let's go KD and James 🔥🔥🔥
De’Aaron Fox v CHO
Stake: 0.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $30.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
De'Aaron Fox 0.5 units. Take odds over $30. 5.3apg. A game against the worst defensive team is a nice spot to get back on track offensively. Go Swipa the Fox 🔥🔥🔥
