Members tips for Thursday 9 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Fred VanVleet v OKC
Stake: 1.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Fred is averaging 19.8ppg 5rpg 6.1apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season and about 24% of games since last season. I like FVV today against the Thunder. The Thunder are giving up plenty of points and rebounds to front court player but have done a decent job preventing points to opposition guards. So we're betting here on FVV to play a facilitator type of role. Go FVV 🔥🔥🔥
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v TOR
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
SGA is averaging 21.7ppg 4.9rpg 4.9apg. He's hit this line in 2 games this season including 1 in his last 5. SGA is hot at the moment he's posted 39 and 30 points in his last 2 games. Up against a Raptors team ranked 21st in Drtg. The Raptors do a good job of forcing turnovers and deflections 16.4 turnovers forced per game. If SGA can avoid turning over the ball though he should see plenty of good scoring and assisting opportunities. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Giannis Antetokounmpo v MIA
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.25
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Giannis is averaging 27.6ppg 11.8rpg 5.8apg. He's hit this line 5 games this season and about 23% of games over the past 2 seasons. I see this game against the Heat without Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo as somewhat of a mismatch. Now that could mean the game goes a few ways, but we're betting here that the Heat have to commit extra attention to Giannis freeing up other guys to score. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
James Harden v HOU
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
The Brooklyn Nets are without LaMarcus Aldridge and Kevin Durant today meaning the beard will take on an even bigger role today. The Houston Rockets are giving up plenty of points and assists to Point Guards. James favourite lob threat Nicolas Claxton is back in the lineup so looking for plenty of that connection today and a little less scoring. Go James 🔥🔥🔥
Steven Adams v DAL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Big Steve has been playing well over the past few games and faces a favourable matchup today against the Dallas Mavericks without Luka Doncic. He went 1 rebound short of this line against them last game out let's see if he can go a little better today. Go Steve 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v DEN
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jonas Valanciunas 3 units. Take odds over $2.5. He's coming off a couple of down games but I like the lines we're seeing here for JV who has been a very solid Center for the Pelicans this season. Go JV 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Duncan Robinson v MIL
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $13.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
DRob is only ever 6 3PM and a layup away from a 20 ball. All jokes aside he's posted this line 12 games over the past 2 seasons. Without Jimmy and Bam the Heat will need someone to step up and get hot to be in it. Go Duncan 🔥🔥🔥
Christian Wood v BRO
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $12.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred..
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Christian has been playing well of late and has hit this line in 2 of his last 5 games. With the Nets resting players I think it will be a good opportunity for him to have a big game. Go Christian 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Jarrett Allen v CHI
Stake: 3 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett is averaging 17.3ppg 11.2rpg 2apg. He's hit this line in 10 games this season including 3 in his last 5. Jarrett is up against a Bulls team giving up plenty of rebounds to opposition Centers. In terms of the assists we're seeing a nice boost to odds here and although he's not noted for his passing skills Jarrett has done an ok job of assisting this season 13 and 9 to the over 2 assist mark. Go Jarrett do your thing 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v NYK
Stake: 3 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Domantas Sabonis 3 units. Take odds over $3. Domantas is averaging 17.8ppg 12rpg 4.1apg. He's hit this line in 11 games this season including 2 games in his last 5. Domantas has hit this line in about 43% of games over the past 2 seasons including 2 games against the Knicks. The Knicks have been very good defensively against Power Forwards. But they are giving up plenty of points and rebounds to Centers happy to have a bet here on Domantas at these odds. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Joel Embed v CHO
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Joel Embiid is averaging 23.9ppg 11.3rpg 4.4apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 3 of his last 5. The reason I really like this bet is the matchup. Charlotte are lacking size inside and Joel really went to work racking up 43 points last game. I think we could see more of the same here against a Charlotte team ranked 29th in the NBA in Drtg. Go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Gordon Hayward v PHI
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $9.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Gordon is averaging 17.1ppg 4.9rpg 3.7apg. He's hit this line 4 games this season and about 16% of his games for the Hornets since last season. I like his chances today up against the 76ers because of his bump in USG% due to LaMelo and Terry Rozier being out of the lineup. The last 2 games Gordon has taken more than his season average in FGA it's a matter of making the most of the opportunity. Go Gordon, do your thing 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v WAS
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jerami is averaging 20.1ppg 4.8rpg 2.6apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 2 in his last 5. He's hit this line in about 32% of the games he's played for the Pistions. I think today up against the Washington Wizards team that are about league average defensively I think he's a good bet at these odds. Go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Lonzo Ball v CLE
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $35.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Lonzo has 1 triple double this season and has gone close one other time. I like the bump in USG% he's seen since DeMar has been out of the lineup and he's had double digit rebounds his last 2 games. Let's go Lonzo take it 1 step further 🔥🔥🔥
Spencer Dinwiddie v DET
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Spencer Dinwiddie 1 unit. Take odds over $15. Spencer is averaging 13.4ppg 4.9rpg 5.2apg. He's hit this line in 2 games this season and about 13% of games over the past 3 seasons, has hit in 1 of last 5 also. I think we're seeing great value here for Spencer and the books are sleeping on his ability as a passer especially up against a Pistons team that allows plenty of assists to Point Guards. Go Spencer 🔥🔥🔥
Sabonis & Valanciunas Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $13.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Domantas x Jonas. 1 unit. Optional. I like the odds we're getting on these bets today coming off a couple of down games for Jonas. He's shown he can hit this line plenty this season so looking for a bounce back today against a tough Nuggets team. We're getting good value odds if he can hit it though. Go Domas and Jonas 🇱🇹🇱🇹🇱🇹
