Members tips for Thursday 2 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3
The Fundamentals
De’Aaron Fox v LAC
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
De'Aaron is averaging 20.1ppg 3.5rpg 5.5apg. He's hit this line in 2 games this season including 1 in his last 5. He's hit this line in about 18% of games since last season and 2 of 3 vs the Clippers. We've seen a dip in De'Aarons shooting splits and overall production this season. Today he faces a matchup he has enjoyed in the past against a Clippers team who have given up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position this year. Looking for Fox to show some form here in what should be a favourable matchup especially with Paul George ruled out. Go Swipa the Fox 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
LaMelo Ball v MIL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 19.3ppg 7.8rpg 8.2apg. He's hit this line in 7 games this season including 2 of his last 5. Over his past few games LaMelo has posted massive assist lines 13,13,13. Today he's up against a Milwaukee Bucks team today who are ranked 9th in Drtg. LaMelo despite his recent assisting numbers is still 14 and 9 to the under 8.5 mark so that's how we're betting today. Go LaMelo score the ball 🔥🔥🔥
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v HOU
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
SGA has hit this line in 1 game this season and about 15% of games over the past 2 seasons. The Rockets have had SGA number in 3 games this season. But on the whole they are ranked 18th in Drtg and are giving up plenty of points and assists against opposition Point Guards. Hopefully today's the day for SGA. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v DAL
Stake: 3 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jonas is averaging 19.3ppg 12.4rpg 2.4apg. He's hit this line in 12 games this season including 2 in his last 5. Jonas is coming off a MASSIVE 39-15-3 performance against the Clippers. We've seen his points line bet up here against the Mavericks. I'm still happy for us to take this bet on Jonas, because of the matchup. The Mavs haven't been good against opposition Centers giving up plenty of points and rebounds, Jonas specialty. Go JV 🔥🔥🔥
Brandon Ingram v DAL
Stake: 2 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Getting over 4.5 rebounds here is key, he lands on 5 a lot, including a bunch v Dallas. Overall we still think the bookie lines are low on Brandon and happy to take over action here at these odds.
Optional Super Action
All results count towards final statistics
Ingram and Valanciunas Combo SGM
Stake: 0.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Jonas and Brandon. The 2 most consistent performers on the Pelicans. They've combined to hit these lines in 2 games this season and gone close a couple of others. Let's see if they can get it going here today against the Mavs. Go Brandon and Jonas 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Nikola Jokic v ORL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Nikola is averaging 26.2ppg 13.7rpg 6.4apg. He's hit this line in 2 games this season and been close a few others. Over the last 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 29% of games. His assist numbers are down this season. Today he faces an Orlando Magic team who are ranked 25th in Drtg. This is a good opportunity for Nikola to either score the ball himself, drop dimes, or maybe some of both. Last season he enjoyed the matchup hitting this line in 2 of 2 games vs the Magic. Go Joker 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v ATL
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.5
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Domas has is coming off a monster triple-double. He's hit this line in 10 games this season and over 50% of games the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are ranked 24th in the NBA in Drtg but have been doing a good job against opposition Centers. If Myles Turner (questionable) is out that will mean big Center minutes for Domas which will be a tougher ask to hit this line but I still think he's capable. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Montrez Harrell v MIN
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Montrez is averaging 16.1ppg 8.3rpg 2.3apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 1 in his last 5. Montrez is coming off a couple of down games but faces a great chance to bounce back today against the Timberwolves who are giving up plenty of points and rebounds to opposition Centers. Montrezl is a high energy, hustle type big man. Critics highlight the flaws in his game but the Timberwolves are affected by illness and I think this will be a great spot for Montrezl energy and intensity. Go Trez 🔥🔥🔥
Joel Embiid v BOS
Stake: 2 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Joel is averaging 22.8ppg 10.3rpg 4apg. He's hit this line in 3 games this season including 1 in his last 5 and about 24% of games over the past 2 seasons. I like Joel in this spot vs the Celtics. He's shown some pretty good signs after return from injury posting a 42 point effort vs the Twolves incl 21Fta. And a game vs the Magic which he didn't post big stats in but looked ok. The Celtics are ranked 6th in Drtg this season and are doing a good job against opposition Centers. He scored well last season vs the Cs putting up 35,38 and 42 points respectively. I think it'll be more of the same up against Timelord and Al Horford. Go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Jarrett Allen v MIA
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett is averaging 16.2ppg 11.3rpg. He's hit this line in 9 games this season including 4 of his last 5. The Heat are very good defensively. However Bam Adebayo a key piece of that especially on the interior is out. If Bams in maybe we give Jarrett a miss at this line but with him out I think it's a good matchup and happy to bet it again. Go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All results count towards final statistics
Joel Embiid v BOS
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $18.00
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Joel Embiid 0.5 units. Take odds over $18. He's hit this line in 1 game this season. I like his matchup vs the Cs despite their defensive numbers. I don't think they can matchup 1v1 so either he goes off scoring the ball, or they commit the double team and he racks up assists. Go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
