Members tips for Wednesday 1 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Russell Westbrook v SAC
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
LeBron is out in health and safety protocols. With LBJ out of the lineup Russ has averaged 21.7ppg 9.3rpg 9.4apg and has hit this line in 4 of 11 games. Today up against a Sacramento team that is ranked 26th in Drtg and 6th in Pace. They're also giving up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position. I think Russ is positioned nicely and see it as a spot where he could really go off. Go Russ 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v POR
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jerami is averaging 19.7ppg 4.8rpg 2.4apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 2 in his last 5 contests. Today up against a Portland team that are ranked 29th in Drtg I think Jerami should have a great chance to hit this line. Go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All results count towards final statistics
Julius Randle v BRK
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
The brodie has hit this line in 3 games this season and about 15% of games over the past 2 seasons. My take is with LBJ out, Russ will take on a very large role and we're getting great value here for something that is probably around a 15% chance vs a bad Kings defense. Go Russ 🔥🔥🔥
Cade Cunningham v POR
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $26.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
He's hit one triple-double thus far this season and gone very close 1 other occasion. Up against an average defensive team in the Trailblazers today. For reference his triple-double market is at $25 so playing it like this I think we're seeing great value. Go Cade 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Julius Randle v BRK
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Julius is averaging 19.2ppg 10.2rpg 5apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 1 in the last 5. Over the last 2 seasons Julius has hit this line in about 19% of games including in 2 vs the Nets. Today he faces a Brooklyn Nets team who are ranked 7th in Drtg and doing a great job defending opposing Power Forwards and Centers. That said I think Julius will enjoy matchups with the Nets defenders especially if he's matched up with LaMarcus Aldridge. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Kevin Durant v NYK
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
KD is averaging 28.6ppg 7.6rpg 5.4apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 1 in his last 5 games. He's hit this line in about 30% of games since he's been with the Nets. The Knicks are 16th in Drtg and are doing a good job against opposing Power Forwards and Centers. This is KD, easy money sniper we're talking about. Even if the defense is great. One of the best scorers to ever do it and I'm happy for us to be on the over 27.5points here. Go KD 🔥🔥🔥
Pascal Siakam v MEM
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Pascal is averaging 17.7ppg 7.2rpg 3.6apg this season. He's hit this line in 2 games this season. Over the past 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 29% of games including 1 against the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are 30th in the NBA in Drtg and giving up plenty of Points to Power Forwards and Centers. I like this matchup for Spicy P let's see if he can get it going today, go Spicy 🌶🌶🌶
Chris Paul v GSW
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
CP3 is averaging 14.5ppg 4.1rpg 10.1apg. He's hit this line in 7 games this season including 1 in his last 5. The Golden State Warriors are ranked 1st in Drtg and are doing a good job of limiting opposing Point Guards scoring. If there's a point guard that can solve the problems the Warriors defense presents it's CP3. Let's go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
Steph Curry v PHO
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
In his last 10 matchups v CP3 he has gone under 29.5 points in 9 of them.
Steph has gone under the points in 11 of 19 games this season, going over the assists in 9 of those.
While we all know he can score 40 or 50 on any given night, stats don’t lie, he goes under more than he goes over. So we take the value here, and hope today is one of the under days.
Optional Super Action
All results count towards final statistics
Pascal Siakam v MEM
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $50.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Pascal has hit this line 7 times over the past 3 seasons. Far from a certainty, but worth a flyer against a very poor defensive team. This isn't for the faint of heart we're looking for the spiciest of all Spicy P performances. Go Spicy 🌶🌶🌶
