Members tips for Tuesday 30 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Dejounte Murray v WAS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
He's hit 3 triple doubles this year including 1 for us at 34s. The Spurs are playing with Pace this season and Dejounte is getting career high USG% 26.4. He has the ball plenty especially down the stretch of close games and he's been producing stats, not necessarily wins. But I don't think that's all on him. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Sabonis x Valanciunas Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Two fairly consistent performers here. Domas has hit this line in 8 games this season. JV has hit this line in 10 games this season which seems like a real value play. Let's go big fellas 🇱🇹🇱🇹🇱🇹
The Fundamentals
Dejounte Murray v WAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 18.9ppg 8.4rpg 8.1apg. He's hit this line in 9 games this season including 4 of his last 5 games. As discussed previously he's taken on a massive role for the Spurs and will have a good chance to hit this against what has been a good, not great Washington Wizards defense. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Donovan Mitchell v POR
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Donovan is averaging 22.8ppg 4.4rpg 5.1apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season including 1 game in his last 5. He's hit this line in about 25% of games since last season. In terms of the matchup the Trailblazers are 29th in Drtg and Donovan has hit this line in 2 of the past 5 matchups with the Trailblazers. Go Spida 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v LAC
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jonas is averaging 18.5ppg 12.3rpg. He's hit this line in 12 games this season including 2 of the last 5 games. In their matchup with the Clippers this season JV had 26 and 13 in a surprise win. Overall the Clippers have been very good defensively 2nd in Drtg but at these odds this is still a very solid bet. Something to keep an eye on is JV minutes over the last 5 games he's averaging 23.6 mpg due to a combination of factors. Looking for him to stay out of foul trouble and the Pelicans to hang with the Clippers. Go JV 🔥🔥🔥
Brandon Ingram v LAC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
BI is averaging 21ppg 6.4rpg 4.4apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season and went very close vs the Clippers in their last matchup. Over the past 3 seasons BI has hit this line in about 29% of games. Despite how good the Clippers are defensively I think we're seeing great odds to hit this line. Go BI 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Tobias Harris v ORL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Tobias is averaging 20.3ppg 8.3rpg 4.1apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season and 2 in his last 5. Over the past 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 23% of games. Today he faces a very nice matchup in the Orlando Magic who are ranked 28th in the NBA in Drtg giving up plenty of points to the Power Forward position. One danger could be a blowout the 76ers are -13.5 point favourites here either way Tobias generally plays. The least minutes he's played in a game this season is 27, although it will be much better for our bet here if he plays his usual 36 minutes. Go Tobias 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v MIN
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred, but good to take Over 15.5 Points and Over 11.5 Rebounds on other books, but official tip above.
My Thoughts:
Sabonis is averaging 17.4ppg 11.4rpg 3.8apg. He's hit this line in 10 games this season including 2 of his last 5. He didn't have a particularly good time scoring the ball yesterday. But today faces a team with slightly less interior defense. The Timberwolves are defending opposition Power Forwards well but giving up plenty of points and rebounds to Centers. Domantas splits his time between both positions. Domas has enjoyed the matchup putting up 36,29,8 points respectively. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Lonzo Ball v CHO
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Lonzo has hit this line in 5 games this season including 2 of his last 5, and 26% of games over the course of his career. Averaging 12.3ppg 5.4rpg 4.7apg. Playing a key role for the Bulls especially as a passer, rebounder, defender and floor spacer 3 3pm per game 43% from 3. For the most part the bulk of the offense runs through LaVine and DeRozan. Looking for Lonzo to do a little bit of everything but not score too much here against his brother and a Hornets team that has been good at limiting opposing Point Guards scoring lately. Go Lonzo 🔥🔥🔥
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v HOU
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Shai is averaging 20.1ppg 5.2rpg 4.6apg and has hit this line in 3 games this season. He's been quiet recently offensively but has a massive opportunity here against the Houston Rockets who are bottom 10 in the league defensively and giving up plenty of points and assists to perimeter players. Of note, he hasn't had a big scoring game in this matchup, yet. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Jarrett Allen v DAL
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $72.50
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett is averaging 15.5ppg 11.2rpg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 3 in his last 5. The matchup is also favourable the Mavericks are giving up plenty of Points and Rebounds to opposition Centers. Although he didn't produce much in this matchup last season Jarrett is in a much bigger role and looking for more today. Go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
