Member’s Tips for Saturday 13 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
CJ McCollum v HOU
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
CJ McCollum 1.5 units. Take odds over $7. Now we're giving CJ one more chance here. CJ has hit this line in 3 games this season and 10 over the past 2 years. He is a capable scorer and passer who has shown he can do this. They're playing against the Houston Rockets who are top 10 in the NBA in PACE and bottom 10 in defensive rating. A nice mix for a guy like CJ to get going scoring the ball and get back on track. Go CJ 🔥🔥🔥
Ja Morant v PHX
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Ja has hit this line in 5 games this season and has really taken off offensively this year averaging 7 ppg more than last year. The Phoenix Suns are a good defensive team but are giving up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position add to this the Suns are top 10 in pace this year and I think it's setup nicely for Ja to go for this line. Go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Luka Doncic v SAS
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Luka is off to a slow start this season shooting the ball. The other aspects of his game have been ok and he's hit this line in 5 games this season, including 1 of 2 against the Spurs this season. Today he faces the San Antonio Spurs who are actually a top 10 defense even with their 4-7 record. Let's go Luka plenty of passing and rebounding 🔥🔥🔥
Nikola Jokic v ATL
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jokic has hit this line in 1 game this season. Today he faces an Atlanta Hawks defense which has been great at preventing opposing Centers from scoring the ball. Looking for Jokic to use his passing skills a little more today to impact the game and help his team. Go Joker 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine v GSW
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Now first off Zach is an awesome scorer. But today he is facing an elite defensive unit in the Golden State Warriors ranked first in the NBA and they are also playing great defense against shooting guards and point guards. Zach has also hit this line in 7 of 11 contests this season. I'm not saying it's impossible he goes off, just less likely. Go GSW 🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Julius Randle v CHO
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Julius counting statistics are down across the board this season except on the boards. He has however hit this line in 3 games so far this season and about 15% of games the past 2 season. The reason I really like this bet is the matchup. The Hornets are the worst team in the league when it comes to defending the Power Forward position, 3rd worst in team rebounding % and 3rd in the NBA in Pace. I see Julius taking advantage of those factors. In fact he posted a 30 point triple double against the Hornets last year. The only reason we aren't betting that way today is a changed role on offense this year where he's assisting less. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Jayson Tatum v MIL
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes, TAB.
My Thoughts:
Tatum has hit this line in 3 of 11 games this season so the odds seem about right. But when we factor in that Jaylen Brown is out due to injury I think we have a great play on our hands. He's hit this line in 10 of his last 20 games without Jaylen Brown and the statistics are pretty striking. Add to this he hit this line in 2 games of 3 vs the Bucks and I like the mix of factors we have in our favour. One factor against is the Bucks are playing very good defense in general but especially against PF and SF but JT should have enough to get it done. Go Jayson 🔥🔥🔥
Jarrett Allen v DET
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes, TAB.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett signed a USD $100 million 5 year contract with the Cavaliers this off season. They're putting him to work this year he's averaging career highs in MPG, RPG, PPG, FGA and FG%. Pretty much a massive role for Jarrett this year and he's doing alot with it. He's hit this line in 5 games of 12 this season and faces a Pistons team who are bottom 3 in the league in Rebounding %. It's nicely setup for Jarrett to continue his breakout season. Go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v CLE
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jerami has hit this line in 3 games this season. He's hit it in about 26% of games since last year. If you remove the Under 6.5 rebound limit you'll get around $4.5 for the bet if you want to play more conservatively. The official tip is the one above and I like the extra value we're getting.
Today he faces the Cavaliers who he enjoyed his matchups with last season putting up 26 and 28 points respectively. The Cavaliers have improved defensively this season and their rookie Mobley has been quite impressive. Let's go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v CLE
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.70+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: TAB, Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Brandon Ingram is back in the lineup today for the Pelicans which will probably have some impact on Jonas FGA today. The reason I like him in this spot is the Nets rebounding. They have the lowest % of contested rebounds in the league (rebounds with an opponent within 3.5 feet) and that's what Jonas does contests rebounds. Overall they are bottom 10 in the league in rebounding. So I see it as a matchup where Jonas will get to do what he does best. Clean the glass and put it back in. He's hit this line 6 times this season lets see if he can make it 7. Go Jonas 🔥🔥🔥
Harrison Barnes v OKC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes & TAB.
My Thoughts:
The Black Falcon Harrison Barnes has made a very strong start to the season he's been posting career highs accross the board and has been heavily featured in the Kings offense. He's hit this line in 4 contests this season and today faces a Thunder team who are ok defensively but are not defending power forwards well at all giving up 24.7ppg to the position on good %. Lets go Harrison 🔥🔥🔥
Chris Paul v MEM
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes, Pointsbet, TAB.
My Thoughts:
CP3 has hit this line in 4 games this season and about 21% of games since last year. Today he faces a Grizzlies team giving up 10.2apg to the Point Guard position. CP3 is one of the best to ever play the position and assist others. Although he didn't hit this line against the Grizzlies last season I think he's got a great chance at it today. Go CP3 🔥🔥🔥
