Member’s Tips for Thursday 11 November.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Domantas Sabonis v DEN
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
I think Sabonis will have a nice day today against the Nuggets. Jokic is out with suspension. That opens up the inside a fair bit for Domantas to go to work. He's hit this line in 3 games this season and with Brogdon in the lineup I think he'll assist a little less. Go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
CJ McCollum v Suns
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line 2 games this season and in about 41% of games over the past 2 seasons. CJ is a fairly consistent performer, we will forgive yesterdays performance. Opposing Shooting Guards are making 4.2 3s per game vs the Suns CJ made 6 the last game out. I'd be very surprised to say the least if he only attempts 2. Go CJ light it up 🔥🔥🔥
Russell Westbrook v MIA
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line 2 games this season including last game out against the Hornets. Bad for us I tipped him 20+ and he fell just short. Bad shooting splits. It's always dicey playing the over or under points with him because of the volume of shots. But the Heat are great defensively and especially against the Point Guard position so trusting them to keep Russ under wraps scoring wise. Go the Brodie 🔥🔥🔥
Anthony Edwards
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's making a leap this season and his hit this line 4 times in 9 games. I believe what we've seen thus far in his improvement as a passer and rebounder is real and he'll have a great chance against the Golden State Warriors who although they've been awesome defensively also play at a very high tempo which leads to plenty of stats. Go Anthony 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Darius Garland v WAS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Collin Sexton is out with injury. That is likely to mean a bump in production for his backcourt partner Darius Garland that's 14FGA to be shared around I think Darius will take the Lions share of the extra shots. In 6 games without Sexton, Garland has hit this line 3 times and is averaging 19.8ppg, 8.3apg, 3.0rpg. For their part the Wizards have been a top 10 defense and good against the Point Guard position. It'll be a tough matchup but I think Darius gets over the line here. Go DG🔥🔥🔥
Kevin Durant v ORL
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
KD is playing at an MVP level this season and doing it all on the court for the Nets as discussed previously TRB%13 AST%31.3 USG32.9%. He hit this line for us last game out against Chicago, 5 times on the season thus far and faces an Orlando team who have been playing good defense vs the Small Forward position and below average defense vs Power Forwards. The Nets common lineup has KD at the SF which likely means a tough matchup. However KD is what I like to refer to as a walking mismatch most big guys are too slow, small guys are too small he just shoots over the top. He dropped a 40 ball on Orlando last season and I think he's up for a good game today. KD the easy money sniper lets go 🔥🔥🔥
Giannis Antetokounmpo v NYK
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Giannis has hit this line in 3 games thus far this season with and without Jrue Holiday. And in the past 2 seasons he's hit it in around 30% of games a very versatile player so for us to get these kind of odds I think it's great. In his recent history with the Knicks he's scored, rebounded and assisted well. The Knicks are playing poor defense vs the Center position but great defense against Power Forwards Giannis is versatile and proves a handful defensively in transition and in the half court especially when he catches it on the elbow, mid post and low block. In terms of Pace it will be a battle of styles Knicks grind it out, Bucks get up and down, if the Bucks control the tempo I think there is a great chance Giannis get this for us. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v HOU
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.20+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Jerami has hit this line 2 games this season and been very close 2 others. He gets a matchup tomorrow with the Houston Rockets which seems very favourable the Rockets are bottom 10 in defense, 2nd in the league in pace and don't defend the SF position well. Add to this the teams are fairly evenly matched and I think it's a nice recipe to give Jerami a good chance at this line. Go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
Fred VanVleet v BOS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes (under 4.5 rebounds at $7.8 but official tip is above)
My Thoughts:
Fred has hit this line 3 games this season and in about 28% of games over the last 2 seasons. Against the Celtics in his last 3 he's pretty boom or bust 11,5,37 points respectively. The Cs are playing good defense vs the Point Guard position and a slow pace which should factor into the under rebounds. Fred is leading the league in MPG 38.8 let's hope he uses his time to score and assist but not rebound too much. Go Fred 🔥🔥🔥
Jayson Tatum v TOR
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Leaning into his data without Jaylen Brown who is out injured. Tatum is putting up big numbers and has hit this line in 3 of his last 5 without Jaylen Brown. It'll be a tough ask against a good Raptors defense but I think with the added responsibility and opportunity Jayson will have a good shot at hitting this line. Go Jayson 🔥🔥🔥
Ja Morant v CHO
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Ja has a nice matchup today against the Hornets who play at one of the fastest paces in the league and although their Point Guard defense is ok, overall they aren't good defensively. He's hit this line in 4 games thus far this season go on Ja do your thing 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v OKC
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Big numbers needed here for JV but he faces a very nice matchup in the OKC Thunder who're giving up a MASSIVE 18.7rpg to opposing Centers this season. Cleaning the glass is Jonas specialty and with Brandon Ingram still listed as questionable I think he'll have a good chance to hit this line which he's already hit 5 times this season. Go Jonas 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine v DAL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Zach has hit this line in 3 games thus far this season and gone close on multiple occasions. The Bulls are really coming together and gelling nicely. The matchup with the Mavericks will be tough for Zach they are playing decent perimeter defense but are a little softer inside. Go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray v SAS
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
I really like Dejounte in this spot here. He's hit this line in 3 games thus far for the Spurs this season and has taken on a large workload with the departure of DeMar DeRozan. Today he faces the Sacramento Kings who are top 10 in the league in Pace and haven't defended the Point Guard position well to this point. I think it's a good mix. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
