Member’s Tips for Friday 29 October.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2 of 2
The Fundamentals
Ja Morant v GSW
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He hit this line in 10 games last season including 1 vs the Spurs. Luka hasn't had a great start to the season shooting 22.7% from 3. Career 33% 3 point shooter. He has been rebounding and passing well. Looking for a little bit of regression to the mean shooting wise here in a matchup he's enjoyed the past couple of seasons.
Ja Morant v GSW
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
A young star in the midst of a breakout season he's hit this line 2 times already this season and is averaging 30.5ppg 5.0rpg 8.5apg. He's also hitting 3s at 45.8% on this early season I don't think that figure holds up over the course of the season but I do believe there has been a genuine improvement in his shooting. Despite GSW being a good team defensively I like Ja here making the most of GSW pace of play. Go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 1
The Fundamentals
Trae Young v WAS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Again the bookmaker gives us this bet at the odds we want, we have hit under 11.5 assists a lot with Trae and done well with it, lets hope today is the day again.
Tobias Harris v DET
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet & Ladbrokes.
My Thoughts:
Tobias hits this line over a quarter of his games for the Sixers in his career including 1 game so far this season. Joel Embiid is listed as questionable but if he's good to go I think we're getting good value for Tobias here against the Pistons
Zach LaVine v NYK
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes (4+ assists at $7.00+)
My Thoughts:
We are getting value here with the Bookies putting too much weight on LaVine not scoring 30 either time against the Knicks last year, but, the Knicks defense at his position has changed. The Knicks backcourt is a wee bit different this season replacing Elfrid Payton and Reggie Bullock with Kemba Walker and Evan Fournier. In my eyes that's an upgrade on offense and a downgrade on defense, which should make it a little easier for Zach to score.
Donovan Mitchell v HOU
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Ladbrokes (4+ assists at $7.00+)
My Thoughts:
He's performed well for his team and for us in the past. Donovan Mitchell has had a slow start to the season he's still averaging around 20.7 FGA 3.3rpg and 4.7apg which is encouraging. We're looking for a breakout game here from Donovan Mitchell.
