Member’s Tips for Tuesday 26 October.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2 of 2
The Fundamentals
Trae Young v DET
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet (Under 28.5 Points over $9s).
My Thoughts:
Trae enjoyed his matchups with the Pistons last season and I saw him first hand absolutely cook Killian Hayes. Hopefully he can do it again for us today.
CJ McCollum v LAC
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet (Under 28.5 Points over $9s).
My Thoughts:
CJ got this line against the Clippers every game last season, and he hits it often enough to bet even if it wasn’t against LAC. He enjoys cookin these guys, let's see if he can drop a couple extra dimes for us today.
Today’s Bets: Part 1
The Fundamentals
Giannis Antetokounmpo v IND
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.5+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet (Under 28.5 Points over $9s).
My Thoughts:
Giannis hits this line enough for us to bet at this price but especially against the Indiana Pacers. He hit 40 in one game against them last season, however Myles Turner was not playing that game and although he might not spend much time guarding Giannis he has a substantial impact as a team defender his rim protection is elite in terms of shot blocking and causing opponents to shoot a lower FG% in the paint.
Of course you don't earn a nickname like the Greek Freak for nothing, just hoping the Pacers have enough to slow Giannis scoring wise.
Gordon Hayward v BOS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Something we did well with last year, there is strong data to support when Hayward is a main guy on the team. The first contest against the Celtics since moving to Charlotte think there could be a little added motivation. Go, Gordon.
Fred VanVleet v CHI
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
A line we saw him hit a lot last season, but, he's off to a slow start this year. I think he still has the talent and opportunity to his this line for us and it’s time to cash in on the value of people overreacting to the early games.
Jerami Grant v ATL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Cunningham is ready to go in Dallas but if anything it looks like Grant still has his opportunities and at times may even get a worse defender than last year as Cunningham starts to pick up tougher defenders.
James Harden v WSH
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Forgive James for his performance yesterday. Was a complete oversight on my part that he struggles to perform on Sunday games. Go JH
Anthony Edwards v NOP
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.75+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Anthony has come along in leaps and bounds. We've adjusted his boards here and given him some extra space. His best skills in the league are as a scorer and we will bet that way. Although he is taking a fair share of the ball-handling duties that put the assist line in danger I think he'll use most of his opportunities to get shots up.
Nikola Jokic v CLE
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.5+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jokic has form against the Cavs which gives us confidence in betting this line that is also value in general. He hasn’t racked up a big assist game yet this season which is helping us get more value as we predict he will eventually regress to the mean.
Optional Super Action
All results count towards the performance stats.
MVP SGM - Combine each of their Same Game Multis from the tips above to get the odds.
Giannis, Harden & Jokic
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $300+
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
When you multi 2 bets that are both good value, and the multiplier is fair or in your favour, you increase your advantage - can take a while for these to pay off, but its a big value play, so stake small and stay in the game to cash it when it hits.
