Member Tips for Sunday 13th March.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2.
The Fundamentals
De’Aaron Fox v UTA
Details
Stake: 1.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's struggled in this matchup averaging 15.1ppg 2.9rpg 5.4apg in 14 matchups with the Jazz. In his last 11 games vs the Jazz he's hit this line 9 times. Overall we're backing the Jazz to do a good job defensively here. Conley is out with rest which doesn't help but overall I still like this bet.
De’Aaron Fox v UTA
Details
Stake: 0.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Ok, couple things here. He's going to have a massive opportunity with Sabonis out. But... Has struggled in this matchup. And over the past 2 seasons has hit this line in close to 10% of games. It hits in a variety of ways. Go the under 🔥🔥🔥
Nikola Jokic v TOR
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's in great for averaging 27.3ppg 14.5rpg 9apg over his last 10 games hitting this line in 5 of those games. I like his chances against the Raptors and think this is close to a 50/50 shot considering the Raptors weakness on the defensive boards. Go Joker 🃏🃏🃏
Gary Trent Jr v DEN
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Gary Trent Jr 1 unit. Take odds over $7. Fred VanVleet is out. Looking for Gary Trent Jr to step up here. He's hit this line in 4 of 11 games without FVV averaging 22.8ppg in those matchups. Overall 🪨🪨🪨 and 💎💎💎 type player on the season we're looking for 💎💎💎 here. Let's go Gary 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 1.
The Fundamentals
Nikola Vucevic v CLE
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
I like this bet for a combination of factors. He's hit this line 12 games this season. But 4 of 12 without Zach LaVine averaging 21.9ppg 11.3rpg 3.4apg. Another reason I like this bet is Jarrett Allen is out of the lineup for the Cavaliers and I think this opens up possibilities for Vuc. He put up 24-12-3 in the last matchup with the Cavs and we're looking for the same here. Ideally bet this 15 minutes before tipoff to confirm LaVine is out of the lineup. If LaVine is in we'll need better odds perhaps I'd be willing to take $6 to hit this. Go Vooch 🔥🔥🔥
Nikola Vucevic v CLE
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $30.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Expansion on the above bet. Best to wait for confirmation LaVine is out.
Karl Anthony Towns v MIA
Details
Stake: 5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $1.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Now pretty plain bet but let me explain. KAT has hit this line in close to 70% of games this season. He is very capable of it. Up against one of the best defenders in the NBA in Bam Adebayo so the matchup will be tough for sure. But... In 7 career matchups vs Bam he has hit this line 4 times and is averaging 21.7ppg 10rpg 4.1apg with a few big games in that mix. Lets go KAT 🐅🐅🐅
Karl Anthony Towns v MIA
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Big ask in a tough matchup. But he's hit this line 8 games this season and we're seeing good value here especially considering Vanderbilt is out should mean an extra couple boards for KAT. Lets go KAT 🐅🐅🐅
Anthony Edwards v MIA
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
The Heat have had trouble defending explosive opposition wings. Anthony fits that bill. Last game he put up 33-14-6 against the Heat and we're looking for more of the same here. Go Anthony 🔥🔥🔥
Tyrese Haliburton v SAS
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Tyrese has taken on a large role for the Pacers playing 38mpg. Today Brogdon is out and I'm picking Tyrese to pickup some of the slack scoring and assisting. He's hit this line in 5 of 11 games for the Pacers and I think it is about a 50/50 shot here today against an uptempo Spurs team. Go Tyrese 🔥🔥🔥
Buddy Hield v SAS
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
With Brogdon out looking for Buddy to take on more of a role scoring. The Spurs are giving up plenty of 3PM to opposition back court players. Go Buddy 🔥🔥🔥
Bobby Portis v GSW
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
The Warriors have had trouble defending opposition Centers especially over the past month. Looking for Bobby to have some success rebounding the ball here. Go Bobby 🔥🔥🔥
Steph Curry v MIL
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Business end of the season. This is when Steph usually lifts. Looking for some home cookin here. Let's go Steph 👨🍳👨🍳👨🍳
Steph Curry v MIL
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Expanding the bet above to go for more overs.
