Member Tips for Saturday 12th March.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 5
The Fundamentals
LeBron James v WAS
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
LeBron has been huge. Opposition bigs have been having great success against the Wizards and I see LeBron being able to capitalise there. Let's go LeBron 🤴🤴🤴
Kyle Kuzma v LAL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Kuz returning to LA. He's been in great form hitting this line in 6 of his last 10 games. Let's see if he can put on a show in the cryto.com arena. Go Kuz 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 4
The Fundamentals
Pascal Siakam v PHO
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this plenty this season. Key issue Pascal assist numbers have been down over his past 10 games. However he's had success in this matchup and the Sun's play at pace and Pascal plays big minutes. I like the mix here. Let's go Spicy P 🌶️🌶️🌶️
Pascal Siakam v PHO
Details
Stake: 1 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Expansion on the above bet. I like Pascal in this matchup considering the tempo the Sun's play at. I can see some Pascal Siakam iso on Ayton or the other Sun's bigs leading to some dimes. Let's go Spicy P 🌶️🌶️🌶️
Today’s Bets: Part 3
The Fundamentals
Dejounte Murray v UTA
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Ok, so Dejounte has 2 triple doubles in his last 10 games. And multiple near misses. Now the reason we're seeing these odds is because the Jazz have been great at limiting opposition Point Guards in terms of their assist numbers. In his only matchup with the Jazz this season Dejounte went 16-11-11 looking for more of the same here. Let's go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray v UTA
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte has hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games and 14 of his last 27. He's really taken on a large role for the Spurs and I see this as 50/50 chance for him to hit this line. The only worry that the Jazz have been great defensively over the past month. Other than that I like it. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Jakob Poeltl v UTA
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Ok, tough matchup here for sure. But the key for me is 1. The odds on offer. And 2. Jakob has been in great form hitting 20-10 6 times in his last 20 games averaging 16-9.6 over that span. Let's go Jakob 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
LaMelo Ball v NOP
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
From what the numbers show and what I've seen of the Pelicans defense especially JV in the Pick and Roll I think LaMelo could have quite a nice game. LaMelo has hit this line in 11 games this season including 4 in 2022. Let's go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo Ball v NOP
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $30
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo has 5 games hitting 10-10 this season and 3 in his last 23 games. His rebounding numbers have been down recently but I think the matchup could suit nicely. The Pelicans are 20th in the NBA in Drtg and giving up plenty of Points and Assist to opposition Point Guards. Jonas Valanciunas is one of the best Offensive rebounders in the league Hornets bigs will need to commit to keeping him off the boards could leave a couple for the guards to clean up. Let's go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Duncan Robinson v CLE
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
DRob has hit this line in close to 20% of games this season. He's struggled in the first couple matchups with the Cavs. But it doesn't take much to get him going. Go DRob 🔥🔥🔥
Darius Garland v MIA
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Darius Garland 2 units. Take odds over $2.5. This is a tricky one. Garland in phenomenal form. Heat have been excellent defensively limiting Points to Point Guards. But on the season Darius has hit this line in over 40% of games so that's the way we're betting here. Let's go Darius pass more, score less 🔥🔥🔥
Luka Doncic v HOU
Details
Stake: 4 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Luka bread and butter here, over rebounds and over assists but scoring under, we know he can light it up on any given night, but playing the odds it makes sense to take the unders points and know we are getting value when it hits.
Jalen Green v DAL
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jalen has found his feet, we like these alternate lines under but for him to score 20 against a weak defensive matchup and he will have plenty of chances as the Rockets put more of the ball in his hands.
Today’s Bets: Part 1
The Fundamentals
Mo Bamba v MIN
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Up against the Timberwolves today Mo has hit this line in about 42% of games this season and I think we're getting good value here. He played 34 minutes last matchup with the Timberwolves so I think there could be a role here for Mo. Lets go Mo 🔥🔥🔥
Cole Anthony v MIN
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Ok a couple factors at play here. The Magic are working a few young guards into the lineup. In my opinion Cole has been the best of the lot and his production has been the best. In the first matchup with the Timberwolves this season Cole went 31-9-8. As long as he gets the minutes I think he'll give the above line a good shot. Lets go Cole 🔥🔥🔥
Cade Cunningham v BOS
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games and taken on a massive role for the Pistons. He looks to be really finding a rhythm in the NBA. Last game vs the Celtics he had 25-7-3 looking for a couple of extra dimes here from Cade today. Go Cade 🔥🔥🔥
Marvin Bagley v BOS
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Ok this is to do with minutes and opportunity. Isaiah Stewart is listed as out today. Looking here for Marvin to play 30+ minutes in his absence. In the most recent matchup with the Celtics Marvin had 14-4 in 18 minutes. Looking for a bump in production with the bump in minutes from Marvin here. In his career he's hit this line in 21 of 32 games he's played 30+ minutes. Let's go Marvin 🔥🔥🔥
Marvin Bagley v BOS
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
20-9 in 14 of 32 games in his career when he's played 30+ minutes. Tough matchup v C's. But like the value we're seeing here. Go Marvin 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v LAC
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None preferred.
My Thoughts:
Trae Young in great form hitting this line in 5 of his last 10 games. I like his chances against a Clippers team giving up Points and Assists to opposition Point Guards. Go Trae 🧊🧊🧊
Terance Mann v ATL
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Mann is in a good spot to his this line against ATL, we are getting an over the odds play worth a couple of units. Go T!!
