Member Tips for Tuesday 8th March.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3.
The Fundamentals
Julus Randle v SAC
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Julius has been good over the past month. Up against a Kings team ranked 28th in the NBA in Drtg. 6th in Pace and not defending well on the interior. Let's go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
De’Aaron Fox v NYK
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's been hot of late hitting this line in 4 of his last 5 games. We ride the hot hand here. Let's go Swipa 🦊🦊🦊
Today’s Bets: Part 2.
The Fundamentals
Dejounte Murray v LAL
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Odds are shorter. But.... The matchup makes it a good bet all the same. Lakers top 10 pace. and Dejounte has hit 10-10 in 2 of 3 contests vs the Lakers already this season. Let's go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Russell Westbrook v SAS
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Westbrook 3 units. Take odds over $5. No LeBron, No AD. Opposition top 10 in pace. Bottom 10 in defense and giving up plenty of Points and Assists to opposition Point Guards. If this isn't setup nicely for Russ to do his thing idk what is. Let's go the Brodie! 🔥🔥🔥
Russell Westbrook & Dejounte Murray Combo SGM
Details
Stake: 1 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
The master and apprentice 10-10 ballers. The game profiles nicely for these types of performances. Let's go run it up 🔥🔥🔥
Luka Doncic v UTA
Details
Stake: 5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Ok so this one is tricky on one hand Luka has been cookin. Absolutely cookin 🔥🔥🔥. But... He's hit this line in over half his games this season and his track record against the Jazz isn't the best. He's averaging 23.1ppg 6.3rpg 6apg in 8 career games vs the Jazz, well under career numbers and he's hit this line in 4 of those 8 games. Let's go Luka rebound, assist, score a little less 🔥🔥🔥
Donovan Mitchell v DAL
Details
Stake: 4 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This has been Donovans role all season. He's hit this line in about 42% of games this year including a game vs the Mavericks and I like the value we're seeing here. Go Spida 🕷️🕷️🕷️
Rudy Gobert v DAL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Ok so a fairly large bet here. This is a line Rudy has hit in 37% of games this season including a game vs the Mavericks. On the face massive overs. Now what we're looking for here is Rudy to make the most of the matchup. If the Mavs play Kleiber at the 5 we'll need Rudy to defend well enough to stay on the court. In that scenario if he plays his average minutes I like his chances. Let's go Rudy 🔥🔥🔥
Kevin Looney v DEN
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Kev has hit this line in over 50% of games this season. Today the Warriors are without Steph Curry and he's up against Nikola Jokic. If he can hit this line under these circumstances then good on him 👏. I just think it's a little more likely it goes the other way.
Nikola Jokic v GSW
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Joker is in MVP calibre form up against a team that has had trouble defending opposition Centers I like the mix. Let's go Joker 🃏🃏🃏
Today’s Bets: Part 1.
The Fundamentals
Zach LaVine v PHI
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is a line Zach has hit plenty this season. But especially when Vucevic is out of the lineup. 4 of 7 games without Vuc and he's averaging 26ppg 5.4rpg 2.9apg in those matchups. He's also hit this line in 2 of 3 games vs the 76ers. Looking for more of the same here from Zach today. Lets go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine v PHI
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is an expansion on the bet above. Zach has hit this line in about 10% of games over the past 2 seasons including a game against Philly. What makes me interested in backing it here today is Vucevic status as questionable. If he isn't good to go it's likely we'll see a bump to Zach scoring and rebounding numbers. But not necessarily assist numbers. Lets go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
James Harden v CHI
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's looked great since getting traded to Philly hitting this line in 3 of his last 4 games. The Bulls on the other hand have been giving up plenty to opposition Point Guards over the last month. Lets go James 🔥🔥🔥
Cade Cunningham v ATL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
The Rookie has been coming into his own of late. He's hit this line in 10 of his last 19 games for the Pistons. Today up against an Atlanta Hawks team ranked 27th in the NBA in Drtg I like his chances. Lets go Cade 🔥🔥🔥
Jerami Grant v ATL
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jerami has started to show signs of life averaging 19.4-3.2-3.2 over his last 5. Now he hasn't hit this line in 2022. But... Has fallen short due to the rebounding a few times. When I look at the matchup today, given the boost to the odds I'm happy for us to play him for 5 boards here. Go Jerami 🔥🔥🔥
Duncan Robinson v HOU
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
I rate this as a 30% chance given the opposition and lineup availability for the Heat. Let's go DRob 🔥🔥🔥
Christian Wood v MIA
Details
Stake: 4 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Up against one of the best individual defenders in the league in Bam Adebayo. And one of the best teams defensively. So why back Christian here? The numbers he's hit this line in 50% of games this season and we're getting a nice edge despite that fact. OFC he's hit it in games against teams like the Lakers and Kings. But a deeper look also shows games against Giannis and the Bucks, Ayton and the Phoenix Suns. The lines too low imo and I think he has a great chance to hit this. 15.5-8.5 are key numbers so this is best bet on SB. If you can't get that number on the other books just leave it.
D’Angelo Russell v POR
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Russell’s lines all seem a little high, we like going for this tripel Under at such odds, usually, we see tripe under for closer to $3-$3.50, plus we like the situation for the Under.
Jarred Vanderbilt v POR
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He didn't quite get it going on the glass in their last matchup but it was a very uptempo game so I like his chances today. The odds have dipped to reflect but I still rate Vandos level of activity it will need to be matched but the Trailblazers or he'll feast on the glass. Go Vando 🔥🔥🔥
