Members tips for Wednesday 18th January
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3
The Fundamentals
Nikola Jokic v LAC
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
The Joker had been assisting at a very high rate of late. This is a line he's hit in 5 of his last 11 games including 2 of 2 vs the Clippers. We're looking for more of the same here today. Go Joker 🃏🃏🃏
Russell Westbrook v IND
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 8 games already this season. The Lakers have taken the ball out of Russ hands over the last few games. Reporting is Frank Vogels job is on game by game review. Russ still has the ability to take over games by sheer will and force. Let's see if he can get it going today against the Pacers, perhaps despite the game plan. Go the Brodie 🔥🔥🔥
LeBron James v IND
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
LeBron has been playing at a very high level of late. He's already scored 39 on the Pacers this season. Let's see if he can keep up the Pace. Go LeBron 🤴🤴🤴
Cade & Stewart Combo SGM
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
This is a bet combining a few factors the Kings are ranked 27th in the NBA in Drtg and getting crushed on the glass by opposition Centers. Go Cade and Isaiah 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Ja Morant v MIL
Details
Stake: 1.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Ja has hit this line in 3 games in his last 10. In terms of the matchup this profiles as an uptempo game both teams ranked in the top 10 in pace. And the Bucks are giving up plenty of Points and Assists to opposition Point Guards I think it's a nice mix for Ja here. Go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Steven Adams v MIL
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Steven had a couple of huge games against the Bucks on the glass last season. Looking for more of the same today. He's hit this line in 2 of his last 10. Let's go Steve clean that glass, the boardman gets paid 💰💰💰
Giannis Antetokounmpo v MEM
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $9.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Given the likely tempo of the matchup I like Giannis to have a big impact here. Go Giannis 🔥🔥🔥
Jarrett Allen v CHI
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
This is a pretty solid line Jarrett has hit plenty this season. The reason I like it today is the opposition. The Bulls are giving up plenty of Points and Rebounds to opposition Centers. Let's go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray v OKC
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
I like Dejounte chances at a triple double here vs the OKC Thunder opposition guards have had plenty of success. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v SAS
Details
Stake: 1.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line in 4 of his last 10 games. We've given him an extra board here to work with. Overall I'd consider playing this play with 3+ rebounds but no markets are available so we play on this side with a little more value. SGA is 30 and 8 to the under 6.5 assist mark. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Christian Wood v UTA
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.20
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Christian has hit this line plenty this season. It'll be a tough matchup with Gobert but if Christian can stretch the floor and hit a couple of triples he'll be well on the way. Go Christian 🔥🔥🔥
Luka Doncic v TOR
Details
Stake: 2.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Luka has 3 triple doubles in his last 8 since returning from injury. He's playing at a very high level and happy to back him here. Go Luka 🔥🔥🔥
Fred VanVleet v DAL
Details
Stake: 2.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Fred has been in very good form of late. But we're betting here on the Mavericks defense which has been great against opposition Point Guards including their first matchup of the season. Let's go Fred pass, rebound. Score a little less 🔥🔥🔥
Pascal Siakam v DAL
Details
Stake: 2.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Pascal is in great form hitting this line 5 in his last 11. In terms of the matchup the Mavericks are giving up plenty to opposition Centers. Let's go Spicy P 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
Kyrie Irving v WAS
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
We saw Kyrie start to get back to his best in his last game out. He's hit this line in about 50% of his games since last season and I like his chances here today against the Wizards let's go Kyrie 🔥🔥🔥
Bradley Beal v BKN
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
I like Brad here today. There's some chat around trades and this and that. Brad has hit this line in 3 of his last 10 games. Averaging 27ppg 4.7rpg 7.6apg over that span. He's facing a Brooklyn team that is ranked 14th in the NBA in Drtg. But giving up plenty of points to opposition backcourt players and playing top 10 in pace. I think this could be a nice mix for Brad to get it going today. Go Brad 🔥🔥🔥
Joel Embiid v ORL
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Now the riskiest part of the bet is the rebounds. Orlando have been getting crushed by opposition bigs. But we're betting on Joel's recent form here. He's averaging 31.8ppg 10rpg 4.1apg over his last 13 games and has hit this line in 7 games over that span. Let's go Joel, do your best work on offense, let someone else clean the glass 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v MIN
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Trae has hit this line in 6 of his last 10 games. He has some notable offensive explosions in that time including a 56 point effort. But on the whole he's averaging 28.8ppg 3.7rpg 9.6apg over that stretch. Now the reason I like this bet. The Timberwolves when healthy have surprisingly been great defensively. Especially against opposition Point Guards in terms of their scoring. Looking for the Timberwolves to continue that form here today. Cold shooting today for Trae not the cold as ice version of Trae 🧊🧊🧊
Karl Anthony Towns v ATL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's hit this line plenty this season. The Hawks are giving up plenty of points and rebounds to opposition Centers. KAT had great success in their first matchup this season putting up 31-16-6 we're looking for more of the same today. Go KAT, big KAT 🐅🐅🐅
LaMelo Ball v BOS
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 17.8ppg 6.2rpg 6.2apg over his last 10 games. He has hit this line 5 games in that span. In terms of the opposition the Boston Celtics are ranked 6th in the NBA in Drtg. Point Guards have been having some success scoring vs the Celtics including LaMelo with 25 in their first matchup. But we're betting on LaMelo playing closer to his recent form. Go LaMelo pass, rebound, score less🏀🏀🏀
Jayson Tatum v CHO
Details
Stake: 2.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jayson has had very good success against the Hornets in his past few games. On the season the Hornets are ranked 26th in the NBA in Drtg and I like Jayson chances here. Go Jayson 🔥🔥🔥
Bam Adebayo v POR
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Bam looked pretty good in his return from a hand injury putting up 14-9. On the season he's averaging 18.5ppg 10.1rpg. I like the matchup here today for Bam against the Trailblazers team ranked 28th in the NBA in Drtg. Let's go Bam 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Results
Kyrie Irving v WAS
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Expansion on the above bet. Kyrie had 6 games with 35 points with KD out of the lineup. That's a rate of just over 1 in 5 games and todays defensive matchup shouldn't be too robust. Let's go Kyrie 🔥🔥🔥
Montrez Harrell v BKN
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Montrezl is a very productive player. He's a great chance at scoring 20-5 he's already done it 8 times. 4 times in under 26 minutes. Obviously, this bet is better if he gets an extended run. So foul trouble to a Wizards frontcourt player could benefit us. Or Montrezl making the most of his matchups and finishing. And playing an acceptable level of defense. Go Montrezl 🔥🔥🔥
Duncan Robinson v POR
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Portland are giving up plenty of 3PM to opposition players 13.5 per game. Some of that is down to their 3 point defense. If they lose track of Duncan this is attainable. Go DRob 🔥🔥🔥
