Members Tips for Thursday 13th January
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 3
The Fundamentals
Jarrett Allen v UTA
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett is averaging 16.9ppg 10.9rpg this season. Gobert is out of the lineup for the Jazz which probably helps Jarretts cause a little. He's hit this line in 3 of his last 6 games and I think we're getting pretty good value here. Go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
Donovan Mitchell v CLE
Details
Stake: 5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is a little outside our normal Donovan Mitchell plays. But with these odds on offer I think it's a great bet. Donovan is a very explosive scorer. In terms of the matchup I think as long as the Cavs have very good interior defense and length. Despite his scoring talents this is a line Donovan has hit in 19 games including 4 of his last 10. Go Spida assist, don't score too much 🕷🕷🕷
Russell Westbrook v SAC
Details
Stake: 1.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Russ has hit this line in 6 games this season. Including 4 of his last 10. If there's a team to triple double against it's the Sacramento Kings ranked bottom 10 in defense and top 10 in Pace. This profiles as an uptempo game. Go the brodie 🔥🔥🔥
Kyrie Irving v CHI
Details
Stake: 5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Kyrie is a very talented player. He's working his way back into the lineup after an absence. He hit this line in about 48% of games and I think we're seeing outstanding value here. Go Kyrie 🔥🔥🔥
James Harden v CHI
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Kyrie is back in the lineup. In 27 games together last season James averaged 22.2ppg 8.5rpg 10.7apg taking on more of a facilitating role. In those 27 games he hit this line 7 times. I like his chances here against a Bulls team he's already put up a 14 assist effort against. Let's go the beard 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Julius Randle v DAL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Julius Randle 3 units. Take odds over $4. Julius assist numbers have been down of late. But I still like the value we're seeing here. He's hit this line in 11 games this season and hit it 2 of 2 vs the Mavericks last year. Let's go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Luka Doncic v NYK
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Luka Doncic 3.5 units. Take odds over $2.5. Luka has hit this line plenty this season, including 3 of his last 4 games. And 13 of 26 on the season. I think we're seeing great value odds for Luka to produce here. Add to this the fact he hit this line in 2 of 2 matchups vs the Knicks and I really like Luka in this spot today. Go Luka 🔥🔥🔥
Christian Wood v SAS
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Pointsbet.
My Thoughts:
This game profiles as a very high tempo matchup. I like Christians chances to rack up rebounds and points here vs the Spurs. It's a matchup he dominated in last season. Going 27-15 and 24-18. Given the like pace of the game and the Spurs defense against opposition bigs to date. I think Christian is in a good spot. Go Christian 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Julius Randle v DAL
Details
Stake: 1 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
He's in somewhat of a funk. But looking for a bounce back here against the Mavericks. A team he dropped 44 in a game against last season. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Christian Wood v SAS
Details
Stake: 1 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Expansion on the above bet. Go Christian 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets:
The Fundamentals
LaMelo Ball v PHI
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is a line LaMelo has hit plenty this season including 6 in his last 11 games. The 76ers have been very good defensively against Point Guards. Looking for that to continue here and LaMelo to get the other aspects of his game going. Go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Terry Rozier v PHI
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
We've seen Terry collect for us a couple times in recent memory. Today up against a very good defensive team in the 76ers. His last 3 vs the 76ers 35,13,12 points respectively. We're looking for that big game. Go Terry 😱😱😱
Domantas Sabonis v BOS
Details
Stake: 2.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Sabonis has hit this line in 3 of his last 8 games this season. Brogdon and LeVert are listed as questionable. If they aren't good to go. This bet is great. If they are it's just an ok bet. Either way let's go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Spencer Dinwiddie v ORL
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
I really like Spencer with Bradley Beal out of the lineup today. This is a line he's hit in 6 out of 7 games without Brad this season, including once against the Magic. Lets go Spencer 🔥🔥🔥
Kyle Kuzma v ORL
Details
Stake: 3.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Kyle has been scoring and rebounding at a very high level recently. He's hit this line in 6 of his last 8 games and we're looking for that performance to continue here today against the Magic. Go Kuz 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v MIA
Details
Stake: 2.5 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
This one is a little tricky. On one hand we have the Heat playing elite defense against Point Guards. On the other we have Trae Young who is averaging 32.4ppg 4.2rpg 9.9apg over his past 10. We're betting here Trae keeps up that level of offensive production and I think we're seeing good value odds despite how good the Heat are. Let's go Trae 🧊🧊🧊
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Joel Embiid v CHO
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Joel has been in great form. And I see this as a very favourable matchup for the bigman. He's already hit 42-14-3 against the Hornets in a game this season. Looking for more of the same today. Go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Miles Bridges v PHI
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Miles has shown flasësh of his early season form recently. I think we're seeing value odds. Especially if he can maintain his performance for the full game. Go Miles 🔥🔥🔥
Domantas Sabonis v BOS
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
This is an expansion on the bet above. He's already his this line in 3 games this season including once vs the Celtics. Let's go Domas 🔥🔥🔥
Spencer & Kuzma Combo SGM
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Combination multi. Let's go Kuz and Spencer 🔥🔥🔥