Members Tips for Tuesday 4th January.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Early Bets
The Fundamentals
Kyle Kuzma v CHO
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Kuz has been in good form. We ride the hot hand here against the Charlotte Hornets 28th in Drtg and 2nd in Pace it's a nice mix for some stats for Kuz. Let's go Kuz 🔥🔥🔥
Terry Rozier v WAS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Terry is averaging 17.3ppg 3.3apg. He can be very hit or miss. But we're betting that he will be on here today. This is actually a line he has hit in 3 of his past 5 matchups with the Wizards and I like his chances again here today. Go Terry, full scary Terry mode 😱😱😱
LaMelo Ball v WAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 19.6ppg 7.4rpg 7.8apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 1 in his last 5. Now I really like his chances to perform a little above average considering the matchup with the Wizards. Go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Joel Embiid v HOU
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Joel is averaging 29.2ppg 11.5rpg 3.9apg over his past 15 games. He's also hit this line in 6 games over that span. This is a matchup Joel enjoyed last season putting up 30+ in both games vs the Rockets. A key danger could be a blowout and Joel getting rested Philly are 13 point favourites. Other than that though I think it's a favourable matchup and even in 24 minutes last season vs the Rockets he put up a 30 point effort so still possible. Let's go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Ja Morant v BKN
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
I think Ja should have a good chance at scoring the ball well vs the Nets. They are allowing plenty of points to opposition Point Guards. Ja is averaging 28.6ppg 6rpg 5.apg over his last 5 looking for him to play to those averages today. Go Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Steven Adams v BKN
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Ok if we look at this seasons data this is a pretty good bet. The reason we are staking 1 unit is his matchups with the Nets weren't very productive last season. I can't see a reason why he won't go to work on the glass today though with the Nets starting Center LaMarcus Aldridge out of the lineup. That could open up some opportunities. Go Steve 🔥🔥🔥
Kevin Durant v MEM
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
KD is averaging 29.8ppg 7.9rpg 5.7apg this season. Betting on him to hit a line he's hit in 10 games already this season including 2 in his last 5. Let's go easy money sniper 🔥🔥🔥
Zach LaVine v ORL
Stake: 4 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
I really like this play here for Zach and think we're seeing value odds. He averages 26.3ppg 5.1rpg 4.4apg. He's hit this line in 13 games this season including 2 in his last 5. He had a low scoring game against the Magic in their first matchup this season but went 26,30,39 last season so has had some success there. Go Zach 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action.
All results count towards final statistics.
LaMelo Ball v WAS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $15.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
He already has hit 2 triple doubles this season and has gone very close a few other times. Today up against the Wizards I like his chances as good as any. The Wizards are ranked 23rd in the NBA in Drtg and without their 3 main point guards Dinwiddie, Holiday, Neto. Not sure if they have anyone left who can do a good job on LaMelo. Maybe Beal? We'll see. Let's go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo & Scary Terry Combo SGM
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
They've combined to his this line in 5 games this season already. So I think we're seeing great value here. Go LaMelo and Terry 🔥🔥🔥
Bradley Beal v CHO
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Bradley has no 40 point games this year. He has 18 40+ point games over the past 3 seasons. Now. If there's a team to drop a 40 ball on it's the Hornets. For reasons noted above. Another factor in Brads favor is he's taken on the bulk of the ball handling duties with all the Point Guards out and we've seen a bump in his assists. Now let's imagine instead of passing Bradley tries to get his today. If he does I think he'll have a great shot at this line vs the Hornets. Go Brad 🔥🔥🔥
Ja & Steven Combo SGM.
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $18.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
These are their roles. They've combined to hit these lines 3 games this season. Let's see if they can make it 4 today. Go Steve and Ja 🔥🔥🔥
Lonzo Ball v ORL
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $50.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Speculation play here. He's returning from protocols here and has 1 triple double this season. A speculator for sure so just a very small bet. But opposition Point Guards have been going off vs the Magic of late. Let's see what Lonzo can do. Go Lonzo 🔥🔥🔥
