Members tips for Tuesday 21 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Terry Rozier v UTA
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Terry has been shooting poorly of late. But the books have over adjusted his lines. He's hit this line in 5 games this season and about 23% of games over the past 2 seasons. Yes he's been hit and miss this season but we're seeing great value here so we should take a piece. Go Terry 🔥🔥🔥
Dejounte Murray v LAC
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 17.9ppg 8.3rpg 8.5apg. He's hit this line in 11 games this season including a 26-12-9 effort against the Clippers earlier in the season. I like Dejounte here. The Clippers are good defensively. But are giving up plenty of Points and Assists to the Point Guard position. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Steph Curry v SAC
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Stephen Curry 3 units. Take odds over $2.5. Steph is averaging 27ppg 6.1apg. He's hit this line in 12 games this season including a 27point 10 assist effort last time against the Kings. Now of course the Kings are ranked 29th in the NBA in Drtg and he could absolutely torch them. But we're playing the odds here and what we've seen from Steph this season. Go Chef Curry 👨🍳👨🍳👨🍳
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Dejounte Murray v LAC
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $7.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
DI like Dejounte up against the Clippers he's hit this line in 5 games this season. And has gone very close a few times including against the Clippers last time out. Let's go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Joel Embiid v BOS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Joel is averaging 24.3ppg 10.9rpg 4.3apg. He's hit this line in 6 games this season including 2 in his last 5. I like the matchup here with the Celtics with Al Horford out of the lineup today. Let's go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Lonzo Ball v HOU
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Now over his last 5 Lonzo is averaging 16.2ppg 6.6rpg 5apg. 13.4FGA per game over that stretch. He's hit this line in 3 of his last 5. I think he has a big chance to keep up the scoring against a Rockets team leading the league in turnovers, ranked 24th in Drtg, 2nd in Pace and not defending opposition Point Guards well. There's a few factors in our favour here. Go Lonzo 🔥🔥🔥
Dillon Brooks v OKC
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dillon has been in a scoring mood of late averaging 26ppg 4.4rpg 3apg over his last 5 games. Hitting this line in 4 of his last 5. We were off by an assist yesterday so have adjusted and given him a little wiggle room here. I still like the value we're seeing up against the OKC Thunder a team giving up plenty of Points to the Small Forward position where Dillon plays the bulk of his minutes. Go Dillon 🔥🔥🔥
Donovan Mitchell v CHO
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Donovan is averaging 25.2ppg 3.7rpg 5apg this season. He's hit this line in 10 games this season including 3 of his last 5 games. I like this bet here up against a Hornets team ranked 30th in the NBA in Drtg. A key danger as I see it could be Donovan busting the assist line. But we're looking for him to continue his scoring ways here. Go Spida 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo Ball v UTA
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 19.9ppg 7.7rpg 8.1apg this season. He's hit this line in 9 games this season. Up against a decent Jazz defense ranked 6th in the NBA in Drtg. There's a couple reasons I like LaMelo today #1 Hayward listed as doubtful. This probably equals a couple extra FGA for LaMelo. #2 the positions having the most offensive production vs the Jazz are Point Guards and Centers. Go LaMelo, do your thing 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Joel Embiid v BOS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
This is an expansion in on the previous bet. In 3 matchups with the Celtics last season he hit this line 3 times. He seems to enjoy this matchup. This seasons game he was a little off but we'll give the big man another run here. Let's go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Lonzo Ball v HOU
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $50.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
For the reasons discussed above I think Lonzo is a triple double threat today. Increased role, against an opposition that plays at pace and turns the ball over alot. Go Lonzo 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo Ball v UTA
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
I think we're seeing great value here for LaMelo to go 10-10. As we saw yesterday the Hornets defense is so bad sometimes they get blown out. What we're looking for here is the Hornets high powered offense to get going and their defense remain at a level they can stay in the game. Because if he plays full starters minutes I think LaMelo is a great shot here. 2 triple doubles this season. Can he make it 3 today? Let's see. Go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Ball Brothers Combination Multi
Stake: 0.5 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $1.000.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
We're seeing value odds for both. So you know I had to do it. LaMelo x Lonzo triple double. Very small bet. Let's go 🔥🔥🔥
