Members tips for Sunday 19 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Donovan Mitchell v WAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Donovan is averaging 28ppg 2.2rpg 4.4apg over his last 5 games and has hit this line in 4 of those 5 contests including a game against the Wizards. Over the past 2 seasons Donovan has hit this line in about 34% of games. I think he's a decent chance here against a Wizards team ranked 21st in Drtg. Go Spida 🔥🔥🔥
Bradley Beal v UTA
Stake: 2.5Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Brad is averaging 22.8ppg 4.6rpg 5.8apg. He's hit this line in 7 games this season and 1 in his last 5 with a couple of near misses. Over the past 3 seasons he's hit this line in about 35% of games including a game against the Jazz. The Jazz have been good defensively but over his last 5 Brad is starting to find some form 25+ in 3 of his last 5 and I like the odds we're getting here. Go Brad 🔥🔥🔥
Montrez Harrell v UTA
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Montrezl is averaging 14.6ppg 7.6rpg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season. Now the reason the odds are as they are is in his career matchups with Rudy Gobert Trez has struggled. But with these odds on offer here I think he's still worth a small play given he's hit the line in 27% of games this season. Go Trez 🔥🔥🔥
Darius Garland v MIL
Stake: 2.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Darius is averaging 19ppg 3rpg 7.4apg. He's hit this line in 11 games this season including 1 game in his last 5. Up against a Bucks team heavily impacted by injuries and COVID protocols I like Garland here. Go Darius 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Bradley Beal v UTA
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Brad has hit this line in 4 of his last 7 games against the Jazz. Including 3 in Salt Lake. He's not in this type of form this season. But there's some evidence to suggest Brad enjoys playing in Utah. Go Brad 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Julius Randle v BOS
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Julius Randle 1.5 units. Take odds over $6. Julius has hit this line in 9 games this season. Up against a Celtics team that has been decent defensively we're looking for him to play an all-around game. Go Julius 🔥🔥🔥
Jaylen Brown v NYK
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jaylen Brown 2 units. Take odds over $3.5. Jaylen Brown is averaging 21.1ppg 5.4rpg 2.4apg. He's hit this line in 5 games this season and had a 46 point performance against the Knicks in the Celtics season opener. I don't mind his chances here. He returned from injury 2 games ago and is playing around the 30 minute mark, if he gets those minutes I think he's a big shot at this line. Go Jaylen 🔥🔥🔥
Gary Harris v BKN
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Ladbrokes.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Gary has been good of late averaging 14.6ppg and 3rpg over his last 5 games. He's hit this line in 3 of his last 5. We're riding the warm hand here in a matchup with plenty of roster instability. Go Gary 🔥🔥🔥
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander v LAC
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
SGA has been playing well of late. Hitting this line in 2 of his last 5 games. Over the past 2 seasons he's hit this line in about 27% of games including 1 against the Clippers. The Clippers defense is good on the whole but has been giving up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position. Go SGA 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Josh Giddey v LAC
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $40.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Josh is averaging 10.7ppg 6.8rpg 5.9 apg. He's yet to hit a triple-double but has been very close on a couple of occasions. He's shown really good rebounding ability from the backcourt positions. At these odds we'll be taking this bet most days of the week given what we've seen from Josh thus far this season I wouldn't be surprised if he ends up with 3 or 4 triple-doubles this season. Go Josh 🔥🔥🔥
