Member Tips for Wednesday 16th February.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Terry Rozier v MIN
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $20.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
This is a very aggressive play on Terry Rozier. He's hit this line in 3 games this season, 9 games over the past 2 seasons. Terry has has pretty good success scoring the ball vs the Timberwolves over the past 2 seasons putting up 31,41,15 in the last 3 matchups. Also this season the Timberwolves have struggled defending Shooting Guards. Go Terry 😱😱😱
LaMelo Ball v MIN
Details
Stake: 1 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 20.1ppg 7rpg 7.5apg on the season. His rebounding numbers are down a little in 2022. But I like the matchup here. This profiles as a very uptempo run and gun style game which I think suits LaMelo style and will give him an opportunity to put up stats. Let's go LaMelo 🏀🏀🏀
Montrez Harrell v MIN
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
He's been playing a large role off the bench for the Hornets. He scored 27-5 in 21 minutes vs the Timberwolves earlier in the season so has some success in the matchup. Let's go Montrezl 🔥🔥🔥
D’Angelo Russell v CHO
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
I like DLo here against the Hornets. This profiles as a very high tempo game both teams top 5 in the league in pace. Hornets 24th in the NBA in Drtg. It could be a high scoring game. Let's go DLo ❄️❄️❄️
Tyrese Haliburton v MIL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
The Pacers are playing him big minutes and he's got the ball in his hands. Seems like this will be Tyrese team for the rest of the season. For their part the Bucks play at pace and have been giving up plenty of assists to opposition Point Guards. Go Tyrese 🔥🔥🔥
Giannis Antetokounmpo v IND
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Given the amount of roster turnover and their frontcourt depth I think this profiles as a great matchup for Giannis to go to work. Let's go the Greek Freak 🇬🇷🇬🇷🇬🇷
CJ McCollum v MEM
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
The ball has been in CJ hands plenty since he moved to the Pelicans. Up against a Grizzlies team that has been giving up plenty of points to Shooting Guards including CJ who went for 25 in their first matchup of the season. Go CJ 🔥🔥🔥
Steven Adams v NOP
Details
Stake: 1 Unit.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Steve has hit this line plenty this season. Opposition big men are having great success against the Pelicans. Let's go Steve 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v MEM
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
This should be a good matchup for JV going against his former team. This is a line he's hit in about 43% of games this season. Although his FGA has dipped a little since the trade deadline I think it's still a nice bet here. Go Jonas 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets: Part 1
The Fundamentals
Tobias Harris v BOS
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Tobias is averaging 19.5ppg 7rpg 3.5apg in 2022. He's hit this line 11 games in his last 21. A solid contributor on a good team. The Celtics are good defensively but Tobias has already hit this line in a game vs the Celtics earlier this season. Go Tobias 🔥🔥🔥
Joel Embiid v BOS
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Joel is in great form at the moment. He's averaging 33.5ppg 11.7rpg 5.1apg in 20 games in 20 games in 2022. He's also hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games. And has a great record scoring the ball against the Celtics putting up 42,41,38,35,25,13 in his last 6 matchups with the Celtics. Considering his form and the matchup I think the chances here are pretty good for Joel. Go Joel 🔥🔥🔥
Al Horford v PHI
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Al has hit this line plenty this season. Going against Joel Embiid will be tough. Robert Williams is listed as questionable. If he isn't good to go I really like Al here to step up and replace some of that production. He averages 30.4mpg 11.2ppg 7.7rpg with Timelord out of the lineup. Let's go Al 🔥🔥🔥
Luka Doncic v MIA
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Ok this one is interesting on the one hand we have Luka who is on fire. Averaging 28.8ppg 10rpg 9.7apg in 21 games in 2022. Wow sidenote he was paying as high as 50s with some books for MVP last week. On the other hand the Miami Heat a team ranked 6th in the NBA in Drtg. They do a great job limiting scoring to opposition Point Guards but give up plenty of points to the Shooting Guard position. Luka plays on the ball for the most part but spends time as a "shooting guard" also. Either way he's hit this line 8 of his last 21 games and I think we're seeing value odds here. Go Luka 🔥🔥🔥
Bam Adebayo v DAL
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Looking for Bam to play the role he's been playing most this season as a rebounder and finisher. He's hit this line in 4 of his last 10 games averaging 19.1ppg 10.6rpg 3.8apg. With Jimmy is listed as questionable if he's available for today's game I think that helps us here. Go Bam 🔥🔥🔥
Jarrett Allen v ATL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jarrett is averaging 16.2ppg 11.1rpg. He's hit this line in about 41% of games this season. In terms of the matchup the Hawks have been ok defending opposition big men but I like Jarrett here at the odds. Go Jarrett 🔥🔥🔥
Evan Mobley v ATL
Details
Stake: 3 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Evan is averaging 14.7ppg 8rpg. He's had a very good rookie season. He's hit this line about 39% of games including 2 of 2 vs the Hawks. I like him in this matchup to perform around his averages. Go Evan 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v CLE
Details
Stake: 2 Units.
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $4.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Trae is averaging 27.7ppg 3.9rpg 9.4apg on the season. He's hit this line plenty including 1 of 2 vs the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers have been very good defensively achored by 2 quality big men in the middle. But they have struggled a little to defend Point Guards. Let's go Trae 🧊🧊🧊
