Members tips for Saturday 18 December.
Important Information
Bet Size & Bankroll.
My tips come with specific staking and bankroll advice, it’s your money and it is up to you how you bet it but I strongly suggest taking 5 minutes to check out the Using Your Membership Page to get familiar with the Staking and Bankroll Strategy before using the tips for the first time
Daily Expectations.
Important to note, last season we made 386.14 Units Profit, we profited on 104 of 191 betting days, winning 1 of every 5.9 bets placed over the full season. Making sure you have the bankroll to come back and bet as many days as possible is the best way to profit when betting longer odds Same Game Multis like this.
Thank you, Member!
Thanks very much for being a Member, remember you can reach out to me or the team and someone will always be there to answer your question big or small. - Tala
Today’s Bets: Part 2
The Fundamentals
Dejounte Murray v UTA
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $3.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Dejounte is averaging 17.7ppg 8.3rpg 8.4apg. He's hit this line in 12 games this season including 1 in his last 5. I think we're getting great value here. Dejounte is coming off a couple of down performances but at these odds I think we're seeing great value. Despite how good the Jazz defense has been against Point Guards. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
Donovan Mitchell v SAS
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Donovan is averaging 29.6ppg 1.8rpg 4.8apg in his last 5 games. He's hit this line 13 games this season including 4 in his last 5. Donovan is in pretty good form at the moment and I think there's a good chance it continues here against a Spurs team ranked 15th in the NBA in Drtg. Go Spida 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo Ball v POR
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
LaMelo is averaging 20ppg 7.7rpg 8.3apg. He's hit this line in 9 games this season including 1 in his last 5. LaMelo returns today from COVID protocols I like his chances against a Portland Trailblazers team ranked 29th in the NBA in Drtg. I'll provide a little more in depth thought via voicemail for this bet. Go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Steven Adams v SAC
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $8.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Steve is averaging 7ppg 8.8rpg 2.6apg. He's hit this line in 4 games this season including 1 in his last 5. Now the reason I like this bet is the opposition. The Kings are 3rd worst team in the league in terms of DReb% if they don't keep Steve off the glass he'll go get it. Go Steve, the boardman gets paid 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Dejounte Murray v UTA
Stake: 1 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
Dejounte has 4 triple doubles this season and many occasions where he's gone very close. I think the books have slightly overrated the Utah Jazz defense and we're getting great odds here as the result. Go Dejounte 🔥🔥🔥
LaMelo Ball v POR
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action.
LaMelo has 2 triple-doubles and about 4 near misses this season. He is a great rebounder at the Point Guard position. Now I think we're seeing great value odds up against an opposition in the Trailblazers that haven't been good defensively 28th in the NBA in Drtg. Giving up plenty of assists to Point Guards. Go LaMelo 🔥🔥🔥
Today’s Bets
The Fundamentals
Nikola Jokic v ATL
Stake: 2 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $5.50
Best Bookmaker: Pointsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Nikola is averaging 30.2ppg 14rpg 9.8apg over his last 5 games. He's hit this game in 2 of his last 5 and about 26% of games over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks have been good preventing Points to opposition Centers. Of course this is the Joker we're dealing with and he could hang a 40 piece on any team in the league. But the reigning MVP is playing at such a high level that it makes sense to commit alot of defensive attention. Opening up more opportunities for assists. Go Joker 🔥🔥🔥
Trae Young v DEN
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Trae is averaging 27ppg 4.1rpg 9.3apg. He's hit this line in 12 games this season including 1 in his last 5. Up against a Nuggets team that are giving up plenty of points to the Point Guard position but less points. I think we could see Trae setting up his team-mates plenty today. Go Trae 🧊🧊🧊
Jayson Tatum v GSW
Stake: 1.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $6.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Jayson is averaging 26.2ppg 8.6rpg 3.6apg. He's hit this line in 8 games this season including 3 of his last 5 games. Now Jaylen Brown is back in the lineup that will impact Jayson. Up against the Warriors I think the Celtics will need to be at their best, especially Jayson. Go Jayson keep up your hot form 🔥🔥🔥
Jonas Valanciunas v MIL
Stake: 3.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
I like Jonas here today up against a Bucks team without most of their front court players due to health and safety protocols or injury. Go Jonas 🔥🔥🔥
Jrue Holiday v NOP
Stake: 3 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $2.50
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Jrue is averaging 16.6ppg 6.5apg. He has a nice matchup here against his former team the Pelicans. The Pelicans are giving up plenty of points and assists to the Point Guard position. The Bucks will need everything they can get from Jrue with so many injuries and health and safety protocol outs. Go Jrue 🔥🔥🔥
Optional Super Action
All Results Count Towards Final Statistics
Trae Young v DEN
Stake: 0.5 Units
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $30.00
Best Bookmaker: Sportsbet.
Other Bookmakers: None Preferred.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Trae has taken on more of a scoring role this season compared to last. But remains an elite play maker and shot creator. We're betting here on him getting that aspect of his game going. Go Trae 🧊🧊🧊
Draymond Green v BOS
Stake: 1 Unit
Minimum Acceptable Odds: $10.00
Best Bookmaker: Bet365.
Other Bookmakers: Most Books.
My Thoughts:
Optional Super Action
Draymond plays an all around game. He's yet to hit this line this season but has hit it plenty over the last 2 seasons. He's averaging 8rpg and 7.3apg. The Celtics do plenty of switching. Draymond is a very savvy passer less of a ball-handling shot-creator more of finding the right guy or exploiting 4 on 3, 3 on 2 situations. Let's see if he can go a step closer than his near misses today exploit those switches and clean the glass. Go Draymond 🔥🔥🔥
